Match Info

ITALY: SERIE C - GROUP C - ROUND 30

Date: 6 March 2024, Wednesday

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	Sky Sport


	Taranto		Virtus Francavilla

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.73	3	4.75
	1.78	3.1	5
	1.78	3.21	5.72
	1.75	3.21	5.72
	1.7	3	5.5
	1.73	3.1	5.09
	1.72	3.1	5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.74 ↑ (1.42)	3.1 ↓ (3.63)	5.25 ↓ (7.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Taranto
52.8%

Draw
29.7%

Virtus Francavilla
17.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.4%

24.8%

11.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.6%

23.6%

11.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Taranto has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Taranto's form might have worsened.

Virtus Francavilla has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Virtus Francavilla's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Taranto than the current prediction. (+13.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Taranto, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Virtus Francavilla than the current prediction. (-6.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Virtus Francavilla, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Taranto - Virtus Francavilla Predictions

Users Predictions: Taranto will win (9 of 9 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
26. Vannucchi G. (C) 16. Luciani A. 30. Miceli M. 5. Riggio C. 24. Valietti F. 21. Matera A. 29. Calvano S. 17. Panico C. 77. Kanoute M. 90. De Marchi M. 14. Bifulco A.	89. Branduani P. (G) 15. Dutu E. 5. Monteagudo J. C. 6. Gasbarro A. 8. Di Marco T. 19. Izzillo N. 27. Laaribi M. 99. Garofalo V. 50. Ingrosso G. 9. Artistico G. 11. Neglia S.
Substitutes
70. Capone F. 22. Costantino F. (G) 15. Enrici P. 99. Fabbro M. 28. Fiorani M. 8. Ladinetti R. 1. Loliva A. (G) 96. Orlando F. 27. Papaserio G. 10. Simeri S. 37. Travaglini C. . Zonta L.	20. Agostinelli V. 7. Biondi K. 17. Carella F. 1. Carretta F. (G) 18. Contini G. 3. De Marino D. 4. Gavazzi F. 12. Lucatelli I. (G) 30. Macca F. 23. Nicoli S. 10. Polidori A. 21. Risolo A. 29. Vapore A.

Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs and 17 in the zone Serie C ~ Group A).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Taranto won 2.

Taranto is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Recent matches Virtus Francavilla is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Taranto is a favorite.

Last 10 head-to-head matches Taranto won 2 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 8-13.

Including matches at home between the teams Taranto won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Taranto FC
Italian Serie C Group C
03.03.24	Turris - Taranto	1:1 ✺
24.02.24	Taranto - Catania	1:0 ✺
18.02.24	Crotone - Taranto	2:2 ✺
14.02.24	Taranto - Giugliano	1:0 ✺
11.02.24	Audace Cerignola - Taranto	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 TWTWT
- Virtus Francavilla Calcio
Italian Serie C Group C
03.03.24	Virtus Francavilla - Latina	1:0 ✺
26.02.24	Virtus Francavilla - Monopoli	0:0 ✺
19.02.24	Sorrento - Virtus Francavilla	1:0 ✺
14.02.24	Virtus Francavilla - Turris	0:0 ✺
11.02.24	Giugliano - Virtus Francavilla	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 WTLTL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group C
29.10.23	Virtus Francavilla - Taranto	1:2
19.03.23	Taranto - Virtus Francavilla	1:0
20.11.22	Virtus Francavilla - Taranto	3:0
Club Friendly
21.08.22	Virtus Francavilla - Taranto	0:0
Italian Serie C Group C
12.02.22	Taranto - Virtus Francavilla	0:0
03.10.21	Virtus Francavilla - Taranto	0:0
Coppa Italia Serie C
22.08.21	Virtus Francavilla - Taranto	2:0

Taranto - Virtus Francavilla: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide