Match Info

ITALY: SERIE C - GROUP C - ROUND 31

Date: 10 March 2024, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	Sky Sport


	Virtus Francavilla		Avellino

	1	X	2
				Watch
	4	3.2	1.8
	3.75	3.3	1.95
	4.57	3.19	1.97
	4.57	3.19	1.9
	3.75	3.1	1.91
	4.33	3.08	1.85
	3.95	3.2	1.87
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.13 ↑ (3.67)	3.18 ↓ (3.19)	1.89 ↓ (1.97)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Virtus Francavilla
22.3%

Draw
29%

Avellino
48.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.9%

28.7%

46.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24%

27.7%

48.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Virtus Francavilla has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

Avellino has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Virtus Francavilla than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Avellino than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

Virtus Francavilla - Avellino Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
89. Branduani P. (G) 6. Gasbarro A. 5. Monteagudo J. C. (C) 3. De Marino D. 7. Biondi K. 8. Di Marco T. 21. Risolo A. 19. Izzillo N. 50. Ingrosso G. 9. Artistico G. 10. Polidori A.	22. Ghidotti S. (G) 26. Cionek T. 16. Rigione M. 38. Frascatore P. 2. Ricciardi M. 21. Armellino M. (C) 6. Palmiero L. 24. De Cristofaro A. 94. Liotti D. 35. Gori G. 11. Sgarbi L.
Substitutes
70. Cardoselli C. 17. Carella F. 1. Carretta F. (G) 18. Contini G. 99. Garofalo V. 4. Gavazzi F. 27. Laaribi M. 12. Lucatelli I. (G) 30. Macca F. 14. Molnar I. 23. Nicoli S.	14. Cancellotti T. 23. Dall'Oglio J. 7. D'Ausilio M. 60. Llano Massa M. T. 31. Marconi M. 13. Mule E. 1. Pane P. (G) 9. Patierno C. 33. Pezzella S. 12. Pizzella A. (G) 96. Rocca M. 10. Russo R. 3. Tito F. 55. Tozaj E.

Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 18 in the zone Serie C ~ Group A and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Virtus Francavilla won 2.

Recent matches Virtus Francavilla is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Avellino is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Avellino is a favorite.

Last 10 head-to-head matches Virtus Francavilla won 4 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 8-7.

Including matches at home between the teams Virtus Francavilla won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Virtus Francavilla Calcio
Italian Serie C Group C
06.03.24	Taranto - Virtus Francavilla	1:0 ✺
03.03.24	Virtus Francavilla - Latina	1:0 ✺
26.02.24	Virtus Francavilla - Monopoli	0:0 ✺
19.02.24	Sorrento - Virtus Francavilla	1:0 ✺
14.02.24	Virtus Francavilla - Turris	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 LWTLT
- US Avellino
Italian Serie C Group C
06.03.24	Avellino - Catania	5:2 ✺
03.03.24	Audace Cerignola - Avellino	1:1 ✺
25.02.24	Nuova Monterosi - Avellino	1:1 ✺
19.02.24	Avellino - Casertana	2:1 ✺
14.02.24	Potenza - Avellino	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 WTTWT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group C
04.11.23	Avellino - Virtus Francavilla	1:1
25.02.23	Avellino - Virtus Francavilla	0:1
22.10.22	Virtus Francavilla - Avellino	2:3
15.02.22	Virtus Francavilla - Avellino	1:0
09.10.21	Avellino - Virtus Francavilla	1:0
28.03.21	Avellino - Virtus Francavilla	1:0
06.12.20	Virtus Francavilla - Avellino	1:0

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