Match Info

ITALY: SERIE C - GROUP C - ROUND 16

Date: 3 December 2023, Sunday


	Catania		Virtus Francavilla

	1	X	2
	1.53	3.5	5.5
	1.55	3.75	6
	1.59	3.6	6.5
	1.55	3.5	6.5
	1.53	3.5	5.8
	1.52	3.64	5.9
	1.58	3.45	5.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.55 ↓ (1.56)	3.56 ↓ (3.65)	5.97 ↑ (5.95)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Catania
59%

Draw
25.7%

Virtus Francavilla
15.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.2%

25.3%

15.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61%

24.6%

15%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Catania has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

Virtus Francavilla has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Catania than the current prediction. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Virtus Francavilla than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

Catania - Virtus Francavilla Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Bethers K. (G) 13. Bouah D. 4. Silvestri T. (C) 2. Curado M. 27. Castellini A. 33. Zammarini R. 16. Quaini A. 32. Chirico C. 8. Rocca M. 77. Marsura D. 17. Dubickas E.	22. Forte F. (G) 3. De Marino D. 5. Monteagudo J. C. (C) 40. Accardi A. 7. Biondi K. 77. Fornito G. 8. Di Marco T. 21. Risolo A. 17. Carella F. 90. Giovinco G. 9. Artistico G.
Substitutes
24. Bocic M. 31. Chiarella M. 19. Deli F. 7. De Luca G. 10. Di Carmine S. 22. Livieri A. (G) 26. Lorenzini F. 3. Maffei M. 11. Mazzotta A. 20. Popovic G. 5. Rapisarda F. 6. Zanellato N.	72. Fekete M. 80. Latagliata M. 18. Lo Duca L. 12. Lucatelli I. (G) 30. Macca F. 10. Polidori A. 25. Serio S. 20. Vantaggiato D. 29. Vapore A. 11. Zuppel D.

Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 10 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs and 16 in the zone Serie C ~ Group A).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Catania won 4.

Catania is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Virtus Francavilla is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Catania could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Catania is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Catania to win the game is with odds 1.64.

Last 13 head-to-head matches Catania won 9 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 15-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Catania won 7 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 10-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Calcio Catania
Coppa Italia Serie C
29.11.23	Catania - Crotone	4:3 penalties ✺
Italian Serie C Group C
26.11.23	Giugliano - Catania	0:1 ✺
18.11.23	Catania - Turris	2:1 ✺
12.11.23	Audace Cerignola - Catania	1:0 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie C
08.11.23	Catania - Picerno	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.1 WWWLW
- Virtus Francavilla Calcio
Italian Serie C Group C
27.11.23	Virtus Francavilla - Città di Brindisi	2:0 ✺
19.11.23	Nuova Monterosi - Virtus Francavilla	1:0 ✺
11.11.23	Virtus Francavilla - Casertana	2:3 ✺
04.11.23	Avellino - Virtus Francavilla	1:1 ✺
29.10.23	Virtus Francavilla - Taranto	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 WLLTL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group C
19.02.22	Catania - Virtus Francavilla	1:0
17.10.21	Virtus Francavilla - Catania	1:1
13.02.21	Catania - Virtus Francavilla	1:0
18.10.20	Virtus Francavilla - Catania	0:1
Italian Serie C - Promotion - Play Offs
30.06.20	Catania - Virtus Francavilla	3:2
Italian Serie C Group C
12.01.20	Virtus Francavilla - Catania	0:0
01.09.19	Catania - Virtus Francavilla	2:1

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