Match Info

Liga 1 - Round 31

Date: 2 May 2025, Friday

Location: Demang Lehman Stadium (Martapura)

Where to Watch on TV:


India	Vision+
Indonesia	Indosiar, K-Vision, Vidio


	Barito Putera		Dewa United

	1	X	2
	3.6	3.5	1.77
	3.35	3.45	1.95	Watch
	3.42	3.6	2.08
	3.43	3.55	2.03	Watch
	3.3	3.6	1.95
	3.27	3.66	2.04	Watch
	3.35	3.45	1.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.39 ↑ (3.04)	3.54 ↓ (3.79)	1.97 ↓ (2.06)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Barito Putera
27.2%

Draw
26%

Dewa United
46.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.5%

24.5%

45%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.8%

23.9%

46.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Barito Putera has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

Dewa United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barito Putera than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dewa United than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	60%	20%

Barito Putera - Dewa United Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Dewa United will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 75%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Dewa United (1.47) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +0.5 - Barito Putera (1.94) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Barito Putera (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Dewa United (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Norhalid N. (G) 24. Daffa A. 36. Alves Renan 4. Anderson Nascimento 22. Sasongko N. 13. Pradana B. (C) 31. Murilo 8. Morelatto 18. Siringo N. 20. Kahfi B. 9. Moreno Ciorciari J. J.	92. Stevens S. (G) 14. Fatari B. 5. Mitrevski R. (C) 3. Adi R. 56. Nico A. 9. Messidoro A. 8. Jaja 11. Marukawa T. 37. Ballah A. 10. Vikri E. 39. Alex
Substitutes
3. Aditya Y. 17. Ferdiansyah 85. Firly M. 29. Gwijangge I. 71. Iskandar A. 2. Kaffa A. B. 28. Lessy B. 27. Mahendra I. 5. Mier M. 26. Pora R. 99. Santoso R. B. 86. Tama S. (G)	20. Bagaskara S. 24. Meneses A. 1. Natshir M. (G) 17. Nufiandani A. 6. Numberi T. 18. Poerba A. 7. Putra F. E. 15. Rangga M. 13. Saputra D. 23. Setiawan A.
Coaches
Tinoco V.	Riekerink J. O.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
14', Daffa A. ↓, Gwijangge I. ↑,
22', Nico A. 🟨,
43', Kahfi B. 🟨,
45', 1 - 0, Morelatto ⚽, Gwijangge I. (A),
45+4', Pradana B. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Nico A. ↓, Setiawan A. ↑,
46', Adi R. ↓, Bagaskara S. ↑,
62', Morelatto 🟨,
64', Morelatto ↓, Ferdiansyah ↑,
64', Sasongko N. ↓, Kaffa A. B. ↑,
65', Fatari B. 🟨,
70', Kahfi B. ↓, Pora R. ↑,
70', Siringo N. ↓, Mier M. ↑,
72', Ferdiansyah 🟨,
77', 1 - 1, Messidoro A. ⚽, Vikri E. (A),
86', Marukawa T. ↓, Saputra D. ↑,
89', Fatari B. ↓, Meneses A. ↑,
90+4', Vikri E. ↓, Putra F. E. ↑,

Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 15 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2 (Qualification: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches Barito Putera won 2.

Barito Putera is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).

In recent matches, Dewa United is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Dewa United could have an advantage in physical - more days for rest in the last days.

Dewa United will have a small advantage in this match.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Barito Putera won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 11:7 (average 1.8:1.2).

Including matches at home between the teams, Barito Putera won 1 matches, drew 1 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1 (average 1:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- PS Barito Putera
Indonesian Super League
26.04.25	PSBS Biak Numfor - Barito Putera	2:1 ✺
19.04.25	Barito Putera - Persis Solo	0:1 ✺
13.04.25	Persita Tangerang - Barito Putera	2:1 ✺
13.03.25	Arema - Barito Putera	4:2 ✺
08.03.25	Barito Putera - Java United	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 LLLLT
- Dewa United
Indonesian Super League
25.04.25	Dewa United - Java United	1:2 ✺
17.04.25	PSS Sleman - Dewa United	0:1 ✺
10.04.25	Bali United Pusam - Dewa United	0:0 ✺
10.03.25	Dewa United - Borneo Samarinda	0:1 ✺
05.03.25	Dewa United - Semen Padang	6:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 LWTLW

Latest Head to Head

Indonesian Super League
12.12.24	Dewa United - Barito Putera	1:1
06.02.24	Dewa United - Barito Putera	2:2
09.08.23	Barito Putera - Dewa United	2:1
14.03.23	Dewa United - Barito Putera	1:2
11.12.22	Barito Putera - Dewa United	0:0
Indonesian President Cup
22.01.18	Dewa United - Barito Putera	2:4

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