The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Dewa United 68%
Draw 19.2%
Semen Padang 12.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
63.8%
21.3%
14.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
65.6%
20.7%
14.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Dewa United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)
Semen Padang has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dewa United than the current prediction. (-2.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Semen Padang than the current prediction. (+1.7%)
Dewa United - Semen Padang Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
92. Stevens S. (G) 4. Johnathan 17. Lowe D. 18. Jenner I. 97. Febriansah E. 8. Jaja 10. Vikri E. (C) 28. Messidoro A. 77. Sadaoui N. 27. Struick R. 39. Alex
27. Oscario R. (G) 2. Tsouka R. 5. Gufron A. 4. Giraldo J. 3. Kristiano A. 21. Diarra B. 63. Wahyudi R. 24. Meneses A. (C) 10. Froese K. 7. Nakagawa K. 13. Diego Mauricio
Substitutes
31. Al Gasemi D. (G) 37. Ballah A. 14. Fatari B. 5. Lilipaly S. 11. Marukawa T. 1. Natshir M. (G) 6. Numberi T. 3. Prasetyo W. 23. Setiawan A. 99. Tanaka K.
25. Afandi Z. 26. Agong W. 8. Ariansyah R. 89. Bachtiar A. (G) 22. Botan K. 14. Saputra D. 31. Setiawan R.
Coaches
Riekerink J. O.
Nahumarury I.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
32', 1 - 0, Sadaoui N. ⚽, Johnathan (A),
42', Kristiano A. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Kristiano A. ↓, Afandi Z. ↑,
61', Messidoro A. 🟨,
64', Messidoro A. ↓, Marukawa T. ↑,
64', Struick R. ↓, Fatari B. ↑,
64', Diego Mauricio ↓, Botan K. ↑,
69', Febriansah E. 🟨,
76', Vikri E. ↓, Lilipaly S. ↑,
78', Froese K. ↓, Setiawan R. ↑,
84', Sadaoui N. ↓, Tanaka K. ↑,
90+2', Nakagawa K. ↓, Agong W. ↑,
90+8', Diarra B. 🟨,
Preview
A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 7 and 17 in the zone Relegation).
Dewa United is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Semen Padang is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
In this match, Dewa United is the clear favorite.
We predict that Dewa United will win today's game, with odds of 1.36.
In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Dewa United won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 14:3. (average 4.7:1).
Including home match between the teams, Dewa United won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:0.