Match Info

Liga 1 - Round 28

Date: 13 April 2025, Sunday

Location: Utama Sport Center Kelapa Dua (Tangerang)

Where to Watch on TV:


India	Vision+
Indonesia	Indosiar, K-Vision, Vidio


	Persita Tangerang		Barito Putera

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.5	3.25	2.4
	2.38	3.4	2.6	Watch
	2.45	3.49	2.7	Watch
	2.9	3.25	2.2
	2.35	3.4	2.57	Watch
	2.38	3.4	2.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.49 ↓ (2.91)	3.37 ↑ (3.3)	2.51 ↑ (2.21)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Persita Tangerang
36.6%

Draw
27.1%

Barito Putera
36.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.2%

27.6%

41.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.4%

26.9%

42.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Persita Tangerang has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Persita Tangerang's performance.

Barito Putera has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Persita Tangerang than the current prediction. (-6.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Persita Tangerang that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barito Putera than the current prediction. (+6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Barito Putera could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Persita Tangerang - Barito Putera Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Persita (1.79) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Persita (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
29. Rodrigues I. (G) 19. Guseynov J. 50. Kozubayev T. 4. Utomo R. 11. Toha M. (C) 33. Bae Sin-Young 20. Bessa E. 66. Jardel M. 46. Yafi Y. 10. Ogboe M. 9. Hardianto A.	86. Tama S. (G) 24. Daffa A. 4. Anderson Nascimento 36. Alves Renan 22. Sasongko N. 13. Pradana B. (C) 7. Madinda L. 20. Kahfi B. 5. Mier M. 8. Morelatto 9. Moreno Ciorciari J. J.
Substitutes
16. Alchoir F. 3. Anibal Embalo S. S. 18. Brown G. 90. Brown J. 5. Fathoni C. 77. Ilham B. 96. Kartika A. (G) 27. Rindorindo A. 31. Setiawan A. 8. Sudin F. 40. Tanamal I. 7. Umanailo A.	98. Eksel R. 17. Ferdiansyah 85. Firly M. 29. Gwijangge I. 2. Kaffa A. B. 28. Lessy B. 27. Mahendra I. 77. Moon C. 31. Murilo 1. Norhalid N. (G) 26. Pora R. 18. Siringo N.
Coaches
Lefundes F.	Tinoco V.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
8', 1 - 0, Hardianto A. ⚽, Toha M. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
48', 1 - 1, Alves Renan ⚽,
57', Yafi Y. ↓, Tanamal I. ↑,
69', 2 - 1, Bessa E. ⚽, Hardianto A. (A),
70', Daffa A. ↓, Kaffa A. B. ↑,
70', Kahfi B. ↓, Pora R. ↑,
75', Alves Renan 🟨,
77', Bae Sin-Young 🟨,
78', Moreno Ciorciari J. J. ↓, Eksel R. ↑,
83', Sasongko N. ↓, Murilo ↑,
85', Ogboe M. ↓, Anibal Embalo S. S. ↑,
85', Hardianto A. ↓, Brown J. ↑,
90+2', Mier M. (Pen),
90+2', Bessa E. 🟨,
90+4', 🟨,
90+6', Bessa E. ↓, Umanailo A. ↑,

Preview

Let's enjoy game between two mid-table teams (ranked 12 and 13).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Persita won 1.

Persita has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Barito Putera is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 12 head-to-head matches Persita won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 7:19 (average 0.6:1.6).

Including matches at home between the teams Persita won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 4:9 (average 0.8:1.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Persita Tangerang
Indonesian Super League
12.03.25	Java United - Persita Tangerang	2:1 ✺
07.03.25	Persita Tangerang - PSS Sleman	1:2 ✺
02.03.25	Bali United Pusam - Persita Tangerang	1:1 ✺
22.02.25	Persita Tangerang - Borneo Samarinda	1:2 ✺
14.02.25	Semen Padang - Persita Tangerang	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 LLTLL
- PS Barito Putera
Indonesian Super League
13.03.25	Arema - Barito Putera	4:2 ✺
08.03.25	Barito Putera - Java United	1:1 ✺
03.03.25	PSS Sleman - Barito Putera	1:2 ✺
24.02.25	Barito Putera - Bali United Pusam	3:1 ✺
16.02.25	Borneo Samarinda - Barito Putera	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 LTWWL

Latest Head to Head

Indonesian Super League
23.11.24	Barito Putera - Persita Tangerang	0:2
04.11.23	Persita Tangerang - Barito Putera	2:2
02.07.23	Barito Putera - Persita Tangerang	2:0
14.04.23	Barito Putera - Persita Tangerang	1:0
24.12.22	Persita Tangerang - Barito Putera	0:3
24.03.22	Barito Putera - Persita Tangerang	2:0
12.12.21	Persita Tangerang - Barito Putera	0:1

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