Match Info

INDONESIA: Liga 1 - Round 27

Date: 13 March 2025, Thursday

Location: Kanjuruhan Stadium (Malang)

Where to Watch on TV:


India	Vision+
Indonesia	Indosiar, K-Vision, Vidio


	Arema		Barito Putera

	1	X	2
	1.98	3.5	3
	2.01	3.6	3.1	Watch
	2	3.97	3.31
	1.98	3.85	3.32	Watch
	1.75	3.4	4.2
	1.9	3.66	3.34	Watch
	2.01	3.6	3.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.95 ↑ (1.83)	3.65 ↑ (3.64)	3.34 ↓ (3.69)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Arema
47.3%

Draw
25.2%

Barito Putera
27.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.1%

25.1%

24.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.2%

26.2%

23.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Arema has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

Barito Putera has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arema than the current prediction. (+4.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Barito Putera than the current prediction. (-3.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	16.7%	16.7%

Arema - Barito Putera Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Arema will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Barito Putera will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Lucas Frigeri (G) 19. Syarif A. 5. Thales 6. Guevara J. 87. Farisi A. (C) 72. Setiawan B. 8. Fikri A. 32. Pablo Oliveira 27. Setiawan D. 94. Dalberto 11. Lokolingoy C.	1. Norhalid N. (G) 24. Daffa A. 3. Aditya Y. 4. Anderson Nascimento 22. Sasongko N. 6. Infantrie T. 13. Pradana B. (C) 5. Mier M. 8. Morelatto 9. Moreno Ciorciari J. J. 31. Murilo
Substitutes
13. Balinsa S. G. 95. Casvari A. (G) 20. Choi Bo-Kyung 67. Fajar S. 96. Iksan M. 12. Marasabessy M. 24. Rafli M. 23. Rifai M. 18. Scheunemann B. 7. Tito Hamzah 30. Tuharea S.	36. Alves Renan 98. Eksel R. 17. Ferdiansyah 29. Gwijangge I. 71. Iskandar A. 20. Kahfi B. 26. Pora R. 95. Prakastiwi G. T. (G) 18. Siringo N. 86. Tama S. (G)
Coaches
Ze Gomes	Tinoco V.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 1)
8', Sasongko N. 🟨,
9', Aditya Y. 🟨,
14', Morelatto 🟨,
24', 1 - 0, Dalberto ⚽, Guevara J. (A),
29', 2 - 0, Setiawan D. ⚽, Lokolingoy C. (A),
33', Setiawan B. 🟨,
36', 2 - 1, Mier M. ⚽,
39', 3 - 1, Lokolingoy C. ⚽, Setiawan B. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Sasongko N. ↓, Moon C. ↑,
46', Infantrie T. ↓, Pora R. ↑,
54', Thales 🟥,
57', Setiawan B. ↓, Choi Bo-Kyung ↑,
61', Daffa A. ↓, Kaffa A. B. ↑,
61', Aditya Y. ↓, Siringo N. ↑,
68', Moreno Ciorciari J. J. 🟨,
70', Lokolingoy C. ↓, Balinsa S. G. ↑,
70', Setiawan D. ↓, Tuharea S. ↑,
74', 4 - 1, Tuharea S. ⚽,
79', Pablo Oliveira 🟨,
82', Mier M. ↓, Eksel R. ↑,
85', 4 - 2, Eksel R. ⚽, Pora R. (A),
90+5', Dalberto ↓, Santoso D. ↑,
90+5', Fikri A. ↓, Rafli M. ↑,
90+5', Rafli M. 🟨,

Preview

Teams from a mid-table will play this time (ranked 9 and 13).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Arema won 2.

Recent matches Arema is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Barito Putera is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match Arema is a favorite.

Last 20 head-to-head matches Arema won 13 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 26:19 (average 1.3:1).

Including matches at home between the teams Arema won 9 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 16:9 (average 1.5:0.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Arema FC
Indonesian Super League
09.03.25	Persija Jakarta - Arema	1:3 ✺
04.03.25	Java United - Arema	2:1 ✺
24.02.25	Arema - PSIS Semarang	2:2 ✺
17.02.25	Arema - PSS Sleman	6:2 ✺
10.02.25	Arema - PSM Makassar	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 WLTWT
- PS Barito Putera
Indonesian Super League
08.03.25	Barito Putera - Java United	1:1 ✺
03.03.25	PSS Sleman - Barito Putera	1:2 ✺
24.02.25	Barito Putera - Bali United Pusam	3:1 ✺
16.02.25	Borneo Samarinda - Barito Putera	2:1 ✺
08.02.25	Barito Putera - Semen Padang	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 TWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Indonesian Super League
01.11.24	Barito Putera - Arema	1:3
17.12.23	Barito Putera - Arema	1:0
05.08.23	Arema - Barito Putera	0:4
18.02.23	Arema - Barito Putera	1:0
04.09.22	Barito Putera - Arema	1:1
Indonesian President Cup
02.07.22	Arema - Barito Putera	1:0 penalties
Indonesian Super League
05.03.22	Barito Putera - Arema	1:2

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