Match Info

ITALY: Serie D - Group H - Round 31

Date: 14 April 2024, Sunday


	Barletta		Casarano

	1	X	2
	2.7	3	2.37
	2.75	3.1	2.38
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.73 ↓ (2.8)	3.05 ↓ (3.15)	2.38 ↓ (2.46)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 10.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Barletta
32.9%

Draw
29.4%

Casarano
37.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33%

29.4%

37.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.7%

29.2%

37.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Barletta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Casarano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Barletta than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Casarano than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and an outsider (ranked 15 in the zone Serie D ~ Group H (Play Out: ) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group H (Play Offs: )).

Barletta is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Casarano is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Casarano could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Barletta won 0 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Barletta won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Barletta
Italian Serie D - Group H
07.04.24	Altamura - Barletta	2:1 ✺
28.03.24	Barletta - Fidelis Andria	1:2 ✺
24.03.24	Gravina - Barletta	2:2 ✺
17.03.24	Barletta - Rotonda	1:1 ✺
10.03.24	Palmese 1914 - Barletta	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 LLTTL
- Casarano Calcio
Italian Serie D - Group H
28.03.24	Santa Maria Cilento - Casarano	3:4 ✺
24.03.24	Casarano - Paganese	2:0 ✺
17.03.24	Angri - Casarano	1:0 ✺
10.03.24	Casarano - Città di Fasano	5:0 ✺
03.03.24	Altamura - Casarano	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 WWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group H
03.12.23	Casarano - Barletta	1:1
05.03.23	Barletta - Casarano	3:3
30.10.22	Casarano - Barletta	1:1

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