The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Altamura 40.3%
Draw 27.4%
Casarano 32.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
53.6%
25.3%
21.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
57.4%
27.1%
19.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Altamura has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.3%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Altamura's form might have worsened.
Casarano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.2%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Casarano's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Altamura than the current prediction. (+17.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Altamura, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Casarano than the current prediction. (-12.6%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Casarano, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
25%
0%
75%
Altamura - Casarano Predictions
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Altamura will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Casarano will win (votes: 3 - 75%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
EH +1 - Casarano (1.90) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Casarano (votes: 1 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
97. Alastra F. (G) 10. Curcio A. 4. Dipinto N. 73. Fantoni N. 16. Grande M. 30. Nazzaro M. 38. Nicolao G. 13. Poli F. (C) 7. Rosafio M. 14. Simone G. 5. Zazza M.
22. Chiorra N. (G) 5. Celiento D. 10. Chirico C. 8. D'Alena A. 24. Gega E. 9. Grandolfo F. 46. Leonetti V. 4. Lulic K. 33. Mercadante M. 34. Negro S. 27. Versienti L.
Substitutes
57. Albajrami C. 8. Crimi M. 40. Dimola R. 6. Doumbia C. B. 19. Esposito M. 37. Falasca M. . Falco 15. Florio M. 28. Millico V. 21. Mogentale T. 70. Peschetola L. 9. Suazo D. 22. Viola A. (G)
1. Bacchin F. (G) 25. Bachini M. 35. Cerbone S. 80. Di Dio F. 93. Ferilli M. (G) 11. Ferrara V. 3. Giraudo F. 29. Gyamfi B. 17. Maiello R. 7. Palumbo F. 6. Patrignani G. 18. Perez L. 16. Santarcangelo A.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 2)
12', 0 - 1, Grandolfo F. ⚽,
23', 0 - 2, Versienti L. ⚽,
36', 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Dipinto N. ↓, Mogentale T. ↑,
46', Simone G. ↓, Millico V. ↑,
55', Alastra F. ↓, Viola A. ↑,
57', 0 - 3, Lulic K. ⚽,
65', Versienti L. ↓, Di Dio F. ↑,
65', Grandolfo F. ↓, Santarcangelo A. ↑,
65', Fantoni N. ↓, Crimi M. ↑,
75', Zazza M. 🟨,
75', 0 - 4, Chirico C. ⚽,
77', Rosafio M. ↓, Dimola R. ↑,
77', Leonetti V. ↓, Perez L. ↑,
77', Lulic K. ↓, Palumbo F. ↑,
86', Chirico C. ↓, Patrignani G. ↑,
Preview
Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 11 and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/32~finals)).
Casarano is Qualified for Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/32~finals)
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Altamura won 1.
Altamura has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Casarano is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Altamura might have a minor edge in this game.
In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Altamura won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 7:17. (average 0.6:1.4).
Including home matches between the teams, Altamura won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:4. (average 0.6:0.8).