The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Barletta 36.2%
Draw 27.6%
Potenza 36.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
38.2%
27.7%
34.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
40.7%
29.5%
32%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Barletta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)
Potenza has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barletta than the current prediction. (+4.5%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Potenza than the current prediction. (-4.3%)
Barletta - Potenza Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Matosevic K. (G) 6. Manetta M. (C) 4. Bizzotto N. 72. Vona A. 70. Coccia G. 42. Voca I. 16. Franco D. 44. Piarulli S. 7. Laringe F. 10. Partipilo A. 19. Mateus da Silva
17. Cucchietti T. (G) 26. Kirwan N. 25. Staver C. 6. Loiacono G. 3. Russo L. 8. Castorani M. 24. Bando A. 23. De Marco A. 30. Petrungaro L. 9. Murano J. (C) 10. D'Auria G.
Substitutes
75. Della Rocca M. 17. Distratto F. 33. Domanico S. 9. Ferrante A. 24. Ferrari L. 22. Figliola (G) 27. Giardino C. 8. Malfitano R. 77. Marini M. A. 11. Ongaro E. 14. Ragone V. 5. Rossoni S. 21. Valentino S.
98. Adjapong C. 7. Bruschi N. 47. Bura R. 1. Franchi D. (G) 14. Franzolini A. 77. Ghisolfi M. 35. Giannini D. 12. Gironi C. (G) 21. Manfredonia M. 80. Matheu P. 11. Mazzeo L. 70. Selleri G. 2. Verza N.
Coaches
Paci M.
Tisci I.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
17', Staver C. 🟨,
18', 1 - 0, Partipilo A. ⚽,
25', Coccia G. ↓, Rossoni S. ↑,
32', Castorani M. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 4)
63', Castorani M. ↓, Ghisolfi M. ↑,
63', De Marco A. ↓, Franzolini A. ↑,
66', Laringe F. ↓, Ferrante A. ↑,
66', Partipilo A. ↓, Ragone V. ↑,
68', 1 - 1, Ghisolfi M. ⚽,
75', 1 - 2, D'Auria G. ⚽,
77', Murano J. ↓, Selleri G. ↑,
79', 1 - 3, Ghisolfi M. ⚽, Selleri G. (A),
83', Russo L. ↓, Adjapong C. ↑,
83', Bando A. ↓, Manfredonia M. ↑,
84', Bizzotto N. ↓, Distratto F. ↑,
85', 1 - 4, Petrungaro L. ⚽, Selleri G. (A),
90+2', Kirwan N. 🟨,
Preview
An intriguing matchup between a mid-ranked team and a top contender (ranked 12th and 2nd in the Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (Quarter~finals)).
Barletta has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Potenza is in good shape currently (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Potenza may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.
No recent head-to-head matches have been recorded between these two competitors.
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
1
Potenza
8
6
1
1
21:11
10
19
17
Barletta
8
1
4
3
11:14
-3
7
Last Results with these Odds
Potenza - the odds 2.7 are the expected chance of winning is 34.09%, but this team recently wins 11% of matches with these odds.