Match Info
Serie C - Group C - Round 38Date: 26 April 2026, SundayLocation: Stadio Comunale Alfredo Viviani (Potenza)Where to Watch on TV: | |
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 Italy | NOW TV, SKY Go Italia |
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Potenza |
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Monopoli |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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 Watch |
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2.15 |
3.1 |
3 |
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2.2 |
3.1 |
3.15 |
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2.17 |
3.1 |
3.26 |
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1.43 |
3.94 |
7.68 |
Watch |
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2.15 |
2.88 |
3.2 |
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2.16 |
2.97 |
3.32 |
Watch |
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.04 ↓
(2.3) |
3.18 ↑
(3.1) |
3.94 ↑
(2.97) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
- The best margin for this event is 8.3%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Potenza
46.3% | Draw
29.7% | Monopoli
24% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Potenza has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Potenza's performance.Monopoli has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Monopoli might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Potenza than the current prediction. (-6.6%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Potenza that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Monopoli than the current prediction. (+6.8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Monopoli could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.Predictions
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- DC - Monopoli (1.55) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Potenza will win
(7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.58% – 100%.Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Monopoli (votes: 1 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1 
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Lineups
| Starting Lineups |
17.  Cucchietti T. (G)
98. Adjapong C.
47. Bura R.
26.  Kirwan N.
3. Rocchetti Y.
5.  Lucas Martello
28. Maisto F.
27. Erradi B.
10. D'Auria G.
9. Murano J.
11. Mazzeo L.
| 1. Albertazzi M. (G)
26. Manzi C.
35. Piccinini S.
34. Ronco D.
16.  Valenti B.
19. Calcagni R.
8. Battocchio C.
70. Fedel G.
31.  Oyewale S.
11.  Fall M.
21. Scipioni E.
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| Substitutes |
19. Balzano M.
15. Camigliano A.
8. Castorani M.
7. Delle Monache M.
23. De Marco A.
1. Franchi D. (G)
77. Ghisolfi M.
96. Guiotto G. (G)
30. Petrungaro L.
14. Riggio C.
21. Schimmenti E.
70. Selleri G.
31.  Siatounis A.
| 5. Angileri A.
29. Antoni E.
80. Bagatti N.
37. Bordo L.
4. Bove D.
20. Cascella R.
12. Gagliano M. (G)
15. Greco J.
18.  Paukstys S.
22. Piana E. (G)
85. Spano R.
7. Vinciguerra A.
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (2 - 1)
- 3', 0 - 1, Fall M. ⚽,
- 13', 1 - 1, Erradi B. ⚽,
- 42', 2 - 1, Maisto F. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Murano J. ↓, Selleri G. ↑,
- 46', Erradi B. ↓, Ghisolfi M. ↑,
- 48', 2 - 2, Rocchetti Y. (Own goal),
- 53', D'Auria G. ↓, Petrungaro L. ↑,
- 59', Mazzeo L. 🟨,
- 62', Scipioni E. ↓, Vinciguerra A. ↑,
- 62', Calcagni R. ↓, Greco J. ↑,
- 63', Mazzeo L. ↓, Delle Monache M. ↑,
- 71', Valenti B. ↓, Angileri A. ↑,
- 82', Maisto F. ↓, Siatounis A. ↑,
- 85', Oyewale S. ↓, Antoni E. ↑,
- 85', Battocchio C. ↓, Bordo L. ↑,
Preview
A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 10 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/32~finals) and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/32~finals)). Monopoli is Qualified for Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/32~finals)In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Potenza won 1.Both teams have been playing unpredictably. In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Potenza won 6 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 14:18. (average 0.8:1.1).Including home matches between the teams, Potenza won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:5. (average 0.9:0.7).
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Standings
| | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
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| 5 | Potenza | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
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| 8 | Monopoli | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
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Last Results with these Odds
Potenza - the odds 2.3 are the expected chance of winning is 39.79%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.
Monopoli - the odds 2.97 are the expected chance of winning is 30.73%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Upcoming Matches
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
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