Match Info

Serie C - Group C - Round 6

Date: 19 September 2026, Saturday

Location: Stadio Angelo Massimino (Catania)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia


	Catania		Barletta

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.46	3.90	5.75
	1.50	3.70	5.10	Watch
	1.46	4.31	7.82
	1.52	3.76	6.19	Watch
	1.44	4.10	7.10
	1.42	3.78	7.14	Watch
	1.46	4.00	6.20
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.47 ↓ (1.9)	3.94 ↑ (3.32)	6.47 ↑ (3.83)

The most likely Over/Under: 7.25

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Catania
62.5%

Draw
23.3%

Barletta
14.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.3%

27.7%

24%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.3%

27.1%

23.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Catania has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Catania's performance.

Barletta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Barletta might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Catania than the current prediction. (-13.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Catania that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barletta than the current prediction. (+9.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Barletta could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Catania - Barletta Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
57. Dini A. (G) 68. Ierardi M. 15. Di Gennaro M. 6. Allegretto A. 7. Bruzzaniti G. 16. Quaini A. 4. Vallocchia A. 23. Lunetta G. 18. Cavuoti N. 10. Cicerelli E. (C) 99. Russo F.	1. Matosevic K. (G) 6. Manetta M. (C) 4. Bizzotto N. 72. Vona A. 70. Coccia G. 42. Voca I. 16. Franco D. 44. Piarulli S. 7. Laringe F. 10. Partipilo A. 19. Mateus da Silva
Substitutes
35. Cabianca E. 8. Caligara F. 70. Catania N. 9. Coda M. 30. Corbari A. 20. Donnarumma D. 94. Insigne R. 21. Liguori M. 5. Perrotta M. 1. Rinaldi F. (G)	75. Della Rocca M. 17. Distratto F. 82. Djankpata H. 33. Domanico S. 24. Ferrari L. 22. Figliola (G) 27. Giardino C. 8. Malfitano R. 77. Marini M. A. 14. Ragone V. 5. Rossoni S.
Coaches
Longo E.	Paci M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
35', Manetta M. 🟨,
41', Russo F. ↓, Coda M. ↑,
45+3', Piarulli S. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Cicerelli E. ↓, Insigne R. ↑,
46', Cicerelli E. ↓, Insigne R. ↑,
58', Bizzotto N. 🟨,
62', Cavuoti N. ↓, Caligara F. ↑,
62', Lunetta G. ↓, Donnarumma D. ↑,
68', Partipilo A. ↓, Malfitano R. ↑,
76', Voca I. ↓, Djankpata H. ↑,
76', Laringe F. ↓, Marini M. A. ↑,
87', Bruzzaniti G. ↓, Liguori M. ↑,
89', Allegretto A. 🟨,
90+5', Marini M. A. 🟨,

Preview

Two mid-table squads battle for vital points to solidify their season (ranked 10th in the Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/32~finals) and 11th).

Each of the two teams is seeking greater consistency after recent ups and downs.

Catania may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

In this matchup, Catania is considered the favorite to take the win.

These two teams have no recorded direct encounters in recent history.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Catania	8	4	1	3	14:10	4	13
17	Barletta	8	1	4	3	11:14	-3	7

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Calcio Catania
Italian Serie C Group C
15.09.26	Picerno - Catania	2:4 ✺
12.09.26	Catania - Scafatese	1:2 ✺
07.09.26	Catania - Nuova Cosenza	4:0 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie C
02.09.26	Catania - Savoia	0:3 ✺
Italian Serie C Group C
29.08.26	Monopoli - Catania	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 WLWLL
- Barletta
Italian Serie C Group C
15.09.26	Barletta - Salernitana	1:1 ✺
11.09.26	Casarano - Barletta	3:1 ✺
05.09.26	Crotone - Barletta	2:2 ✺
28.08.26	Barletta - Bari	3:0 ✺
22.08.26	Casertana - Barletta	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.7 TLTWT

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