Match Info

CHILE: Chilean Cup - 1/16-finals

Date: 23 June 2024, Sunday

Location: Estadio Municipal de Lo Barnechea (Santiago de Chile)


	Barnechea		Palestino

	1	X	2
	3.7	3.5	1.8
	3.8	3.4	1.77
	4	3.6	1.8
	4.02	3.46	1.82
	4.03	3.46	1.83
	4.2	3.5	1.75
	4.06	3.5	1.77
	3.8	3.55	1.81
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.95 ↑ (3.79)	3.5 ↓ (3.52)	1.79 ↓ (1.81)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Barnechea
23.1%

Draw
26.1%

Palestino
50.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24%

25.8%

50.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24%

25.8%

50.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Barnechea has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

Palestino has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barnechea than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Palestino than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

Barnechea - Palestino Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (3 - 2)
59', 1 - 0, Tapia Paez G. ⚽,
65', 1 - 1, Ceza Gavilan A. A. ⚽,
73', 2 - 1, Tapia Paez G. (Pen),
89', 3 - 1, Tapia Paez G. ⚽,
90+4', 3 - 2, Marabel J. ⚽,

Preview

1st leg.

Barnechea is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Recent matches Palestino is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Recently Palestino have a series of guest games.

In this match Palestino is a favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Barnechea won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 4-10.

Including matches at home between the teams Barnechea won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Barnechea
Chilean Cup
17.06.24	Barnechea - Deportes Limache	1:0 ✺
Chilean Liga de Ascenso
03.06.24	Deportes Limache - Barnechea	2:2 ✺
27.05.24	Barnechea - Universidad de Concepción	0:0 ✺
18.05.24	Deportes Temuco - Barnechea	0:1 ✺
12.05.24	Barnechea - Deportes Antofagasta	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 WTTWT
- CD Palestino Santiago
Chilean Cup
16.06.24	Santiago City - Palestino	0:4 ✺
Chilean Primera Division
06.06.24	Coquimbo Unido - Palestino	0:0 ✺
01.06.24	Audax Italiano - Palestino	1:2 ✺
Copa Libertadores
28.05.24	Bolívar - Palestino	3:1 ✺
Chilean Primera Division
24.05.24	Palestino - Unión Española	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 WTWLL

Latest Head to Head

Chilean Cup
27.06.21	Palestino - Barnechea	5:2
22.06.21	Barnechea - Palestino	0:2
Chilean Primera Division
30.04.15	Barnechea - Palestino	2:1
07.12.14	Palestino - Barnechea	2:0

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