Match Info

CHILE: Primera B - Round 15

Date: 3 June 2024, Monday

Location: Estadio Gustavo Ocaranza (Limache)


	Deportes Limache		Barnechea

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.25	3
	2.15	3.4	3.1
	2.13	3.52	3.19
	2.14	3.52	3.19
	2.05	3.3	3.1
	2.16	3.32	3.18
	2.12	3.3	3.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.11 ↑ (2.1)	3.37 ↓ (3.4)	3.12 ↓ (3.21)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Deportes Limache
43.4%

Draw
27.2%

Barnechea
29.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44%

27.2%

28.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44%

27.2%

28.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Deportes Limache has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

Barnechea has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportes Limache than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Barnechea than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

Deportes Limache - Barnechea Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Alvarez M. (G) 4. Escobar Acuna R. A. 14. Moreyra F. 3. Moreira R. 13. Diaz R. 20. Jara A. 11. Fritz F. 9. Da Silva N. 21. Carcamo M. 19. Castro D. 7. Juarez F.	17. Campestrini C. (G) 25. Salomon C. 6. Alucema G. 3. Ortiz A. 4. Bravo D. 22. Romo J. 19. Llanten M. 10. Sagredo B. (C) 14. Salgado H. 20. Tapia Paez G. 21. Pardo C.
Substitutes
15. Abdala J. 18. Avello G. 1. Borquez M. (G) 8. Cabrera Figueroa L. 10. Cesped A. 17. Flores F. 24. Morales C.	24. Colossi M. 23. Contreras I. 26. Orellana E. 8. Ottesen E. 7. Quiroga L. 12. Salas S. (G) 15. Toledo A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
36', Abdala J. 🟨,
38', 1 - 0, Da Silva N. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
50', 1 - 1, Salomon C. ⚽,
58', Salgado H. 🟨,
59', Abdala J. ↓, Flores F. ↑,
59', Morales C. ↓, Avello G. ↑,
66', Sagredo B. 🟨,
68', 2 - 1, Da Silva N. ⚽,
71', Pardo C. ↓, Quiroga L. ↑,
76', Cesped A. 🟨,
77', Romo J. ↓, Toledo A. ↑,
80', Da Silva N. ↓, Carcamo M. ↑,
80', Diaz R. ↓, Castro D. ↑,
84', 2 - 2, Tapia Paez G. (Pen),

Preview

One of the most exciting matches of the day will feature two top-of-the-table teams (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera B (Relegation ~ Play Offs: ) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera B (Relegation ~ Play Offs: )).

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Limache could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Limache will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Limache won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Limache won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportes Limache
Chilean Liga de Ascenso
26.05.24	Deportes Santa Cruz - Deportes Limache	1:1 ✺
20.05.24	Deportes Limache - San Marcos de Arica	1:3 ✺
15.05.24	Deportes Limache - Santiago Morning	2:2 ✺
11.05.24	Deportes Magallanes - Deportes Limache	2:2 ✺
05.05.24	Deportes Antofagasta - Deportes Limache	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 TLTTW
- Barnechea
Chilean Liga de Ascenso
27.05.24	Barnechea - Universidad de Concepción	0:0 ✺
18.05.24	Deportes Temuco - Barnechea	0:1 ✺
12.05.24	Barnechea - Deportes Antofagasta	0:0 ✺
04.05.24	Deportes Magallanes - Barnechea	3:0 ✺
27.04.24	San Marcos de Arica - Barnechea	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 TWTLW

Latest Head to Head

Chilean Cup
15.06.21	Deportes Limache - Barnechea	1:4

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