Match Info

Copa Chile - Round 2

Date: 30 June 2026, Tuesday

Location: Estadio Bicentenario de La Florida (Santiago de Chile)

Where to Watch on TV:


Chile	TNT Sports


	Audax Italiano		Palestino

	1	X	2
	2.63	3.3	2.45
	2.30	3.20	2.65
	2.52	3.25	2.58
	2.7	3.44	2.52
	2.35	3.39	2.86	Watch
	2.55	3.4	2.4
	2.68	3.37	2.5
	2.49	3.25	2.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.53 ↑ (2.31)	3.33 ↑ (3.27)	2.56 ↓ (2.89)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Audax Italiano
36.4%

Draw
27.7%

Palestino
35.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.9%

28.2%

31.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.1%

27.4%

30.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Audax Italiano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

Palestino has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Audax Italiano than the current prediction. (+4.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Palestino than the current prediction. (-5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

Audax Italiano - Palestino Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Audax Italiano will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Palestino will win (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Ahumada T. (C) 20. Jimenez M. 2. Zenteno V. 4. Pina D. 35. Rebolledo R. 28. Mateos F. 6. Sandoval M. 29. Ortiz M. 33. Fuenzalida I. 9. Coelho D. 21. Chiaverano G.	25. Perez Kirby S. A. (C) 28. Zuniga D. 16. Bizama J. 3. Roco E. 23. Leon J. 13. Gomez A. 18. Gallegos S. 8. Meza N. 29. Garguez Gomez I. A. 20. Tapia Paez G. 27. Munder C.
Substitutes
31. Ballesteros J. M. (G) 8. Collao M. 13. Ferrario E. 34. Jara D. 17. Loyola F. 14. Monreal D. 37. Pasten I. 16. Rojas Munoz O. J. 11. Troyansky F.	12. Canto R. (G) 7. Carrasco B. 4. Ceza Gavilan A. A. 34. Cienfuegos M. 33. Diaz L. 5. Fernandez J. 9. Fernandez R. 17. Ruz G. 24. Salgado D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
5', 0 - 1, Tapia Paez G. ⚽, Gomez A. (A),
16', 1 - 1, Mateos F. ⚽, Fuenzalida I. (A),
23', Mateos F. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Ortiz M. ↓, Ferrario E. ↑,
46', Fuenzalida I. ↓, Monreal D. ↑,
46', 1 - 2, Gomez A. ⚽, Meza N. (A),
71', 2 - 2, Coelho D. ⚽,
72', Carrasco B. ↓, Fernandez R. ↑,
72', Gomez A. ↓, Ceza Gavilan A. A. ↑,
72', Coelho D. ↓, Troyansky F. ↑,
72', Mateos F. ↓, Rojas Munoz O. J. ↑,
78', Sandoval M. ↓, Collao M. ↑,
80', Zuniga D. 🟨,
90', Meza N. 🟨,
90+1', 3 - 2, Chiaverano G. ⚽, Troyansky F. (A),
90+5', Ceza Gavilan A. A. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Audax Italiano won 2.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Audax Italiano won 6 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 27:29. (average 1.4:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Audax Italiano won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 11:17. (average 1.2:1.9).

Last Results with these Odds

Palestino - the odds 2.89 are the expected chance of winning is 31.85%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Audax Italiano
Chilean Cup
27.06.26	Audax Italiano - Deportes Magallanes	2:1 ✺
23.06.26	Palestino - Audax Italiano	1:2 ✺
19.06.26	Audax Italiano - Deportes Santa Cruz	0:1 ✺
Chilean Primera Division
12.06.26	Audax Italiano - Deportes La Serena	1:1 ✺
Chilean Copa de la Liga
07.06.26	Universidad de Chile - Audax Italiano	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.9 WWLTT
- CD Palestino Santiago
Chilean Cup
27.06.26	Deportes Santa Cruz - Palestino	0:0 ✺
23.06.26	Palestino - Audax Italiano	1:2 ✺
20.06.26	Palestino - Deportes Magallanes	4:1 ✺
Chilean Primera Division
13.06.26	Everton de Viña - Palestino	1:2 ✺
Chilean Copa de la Liga
07.06.26	OHiggins - Palestino	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 TLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Chilean Cup
23.06.26	Palestino - Audax Italiano	1:2
Chilean Primera Division
31.05.26	Palestino - Audax Italiano	0:0
01.08.25	Audax Italiano - Palestino	1:1
Chilean Cup
10.05.25	Audax Italiano - Palestino	2:2
Chilean Primera Division
01.03.25	Palestino - Audax Italiano	0:2
Chilean Cup
27.01.25	Palestino - Audax Italiano	0:2
Chilean Primera Division
10.11.24	Palestino - Audax Italiano	2:0

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