Match Info

ENGLAND: National League - Round 8

Date: 10 September 2024, Tuesday

Location: The Hive Stadium (London)

Where to Watch on TV:


United-kingdom	National League TV


	Barnet		Altrincham

	1	X	2
	1.48	4.75	5.5
	1.46	4.4	5
	1.47	4.75	5.5
	1.49	4.7	5.69
	1.51	4.57	5.48	Watch
	1.44	4.5	5.5
	1.47	4.6	5.55
	1.47	4.75	5.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.47 ↓ (1.63)	4.63 ↑ (3.7)	5.47 ↑ (4.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Barnet
63%

Draw
20.1%

Altrincham
17%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55%

24.2%

20.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.6%

22.3%

19.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Barnet has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Barnet's performance.

Altrincham has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Barnet than the current prediction. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Altrincham than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Barnet - Altrincham Predictions

Users Predictions: Barnet will win (9 of 9 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Hayes N. (G) 17. Brunt Z. 12. Chapman H. 15. Glover R. 23. Grimwood J. 18. Hartigan A. (C) 26. Kenlock M. 22. Oluwo A. 5. Rye J. 19. Shelton M. 10. Stead C.	1. Ross E. (G) 11. Amaluzor J. 2. Banks L. 5. Cooper J. 22. Crawford T. 23. Golden T. 15. Humbles L. 3. Jones E. 16. Jones J. (C) 9. Linney R. 10. Newby A.
Substitutes
8. Browne R. 3. Coker B. 32. Cropper J. 13. Gillmore J. (G) 30. Kizzi J. 6. Okimo J. 20. Wilkinson F.	29. Bickerstaff J. 14. Kosylo M. 24. Nuttall J. 6. Osborne E. 30. Randle H. (G) 20. Reddin K. 28. Thompson R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
14', 0 - 1, Amaluzor J. ⚽,
27', 1 - 1, Chapman H. ⚽,
41', Brunt Z. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
47', Shelton M. 🟨,
53', Jones E. 🟨,
60', Newby A. ↓, Bickerstaff J. ↑,
60', Amaluzor J. 🟨,
60', Rye J. 🟨,
61', Rye J. ↓, Cropper J. ↑,
66', Linney R. ↓, Reddin K. ↑,
74', Shelton M. ↓, Browne R. ↑,
75', Humbles L. ↓, Osborne E. ↑,
81', Amaluzor J. ↓, Kosylo M. ↑,
90', Banks L. 🟨,
90+2', 2 - 1, Browne R. ⚽,
90+4', Grimwood J. ↓, Kizzi J. ↑,
90+5', Banks L. ↓, Nuttall J. ↑,
90+6', Chapman H. ↓, Okimo J. ↑,

Preview

One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ National League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 11).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Barnet won 2.

Two teams are playing changeable.

In this match Barnet is indisputable favorite.

Last 10 head-to-head matches Barnet won 5 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 23-14.

Including matches at home between the teams Barnet won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 12-7.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Barnet
English National League
07.09.24	Gateshead - Barnet	2:0 ✺
31.08.24	Barnet - Tamworth	7:0 ✺
26.08.24	Maidenhead United - Barnet	3:1 ✺
24.08.24	Barnet - Southend United	2:1 ✺
20.08.24	Barnet - Forest Green Rovers	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 LWLWW
- Altrincham
English National League
07.09.24	Altrincham - Ebbsfleet United	4:0 ✺
31.08.24	Altrincham - Oldham Athletic	1:1 ✺
26.08.24	Forest Green Rovers - Altrincham	2:1 ✺
24.08.24	Altrincham - Eastleigh	0:1 ✺
20.08.24	Maidenhead United - Altrincham	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 WTLLW

Latest Head to Head

English National League
06.01.24	Altrincham - Barnet	3:2
09.09.23	Barnet - Altrincham	3:0
21.02.23	Barnet - Altrincham	2:4
08.11.22	Altrincham - Barnet	0:2
02.05.22	Altrincham - Barnet	1:1
08.01.22	Barnet - Altrincham	1:1
24.04.21	Altrincham - Barnet	2:3

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