Match Info

ENGLAND: National League - Round 6

Date: 31 August 2024, Saturday

Location: The Hive Stadium (London)


	Barnet		Tamworth

	1	X	2
	1.4	4.75	6
	1.41	4.33	5.75
	1.42	4.5	7
	1.42	4.72	6.89
	1.45	4.57	6.33	Watch
	1.44	4.2	6
	1.41	4.55	6.67
	1.42	4.5	7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.42 ↓ (1.56)	4.52 ↑ (4.19)	6.46 ↑ (4.93)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Barnet
65.1%

Draw
20.5%

Tamworth
14.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.3%

22%

18.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.1%

21.4%

18.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Barnet has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Barnet's performance.

Tamworth has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Barnet than the current prediction. (-4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tamworth than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

Barnet - Tamworth Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Hayes N. (G) 17. Brunt Z. 12. Chapman H. 15. Glover R. 2. Hall-Johnson R. 18. Hartigan A. (C) 26. Kenlock M. 30. Kizzi J. 5. Rye J. 10. Stead C. 25. Tavares N.	1. Singh J. (G) 18. Cullinane-Liburd J. 11. Fairlamb L. 7. Finn K. 26. Hollis H. 19. McGlinchey T. 15. Morrison G. 4. Tonks T. 20. Tshikuna N. 17. Willets J. 12. Wreh C.
Substitutes
7. Francis J. 13. Gillmore J. (G) 11. Kanu I. 6. Okimo J. 22. Oluwo A. 19. Shelton M. 20. Wilkinson F.	16. Acquaye B. 22. Beck-Ray E. 9. Creaney D. 27. Okafor M. 21. Phillips L. (G) 28. Sundire M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 0)
7', 1 - 0, Brunt Z. ⚽,
27', 2 - 0, Glover R. ⚽,
32', 3 - 0, Brunt Z. ⚽,
2nd Half (4 - 0)
46', Tavares N. ↓, Shelton M. ↑,
49', 4 - 0, Brunt Z. (Pen),
53', Willets J. ↓, Sundire M. ↑,
56', Finn K. ↓, Acquaye B. ↑,
60', 5 - 0, Shelton M. ⚽, Glover R. (A),
62', 6 - 0, Stead C. ⚽, Glover R. (A),
63', Stead C. ↓, Wilkinson F. ↑,
64', Tonks T. 🟨,
66', Tonks T. ↓, Lissimore K. ↑,
68', Rye J. ↓, Oluwo A. ↑,
72', McGlinchey T. ↓, Beck-Ray E. ↑,
74', Hall-Johnson R. ↓, Kanu I. ↑,
76', 7 - 0, Chapman H. ⚽,
83', Glover R. ↓, Francis J. ↑,
86', Wreh C. ↓, Okafor M. ↑,

Preview

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

In this match Barnet is certain favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Barnet won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Including matches at home between the teams Barnet won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Barnet
English National League
26.08.24	Maidenhead United - Barnet	3:1 ✺
24.08.24	Barnet - Southend United	2:1 ✺
20.08.24	Barnet - Forest Green Rovers	1:0 ✺
17.08.24	Ebbsfleet United - Barnet	1:2 ✺
10.08.24	Halifax Town - Barnet	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 LWWWL
- Tamworth
English National League
26.08.24	Tamworth - Aldershot Town	3:2 ✺
24.08.24	Boston United - Tamworth	1:1 ✺
20.08.24	Tamworth - Hartlepool United	0:1 ✺
17.08.24	York City - Tamworth	2:0 ✺
10.08.24	Tamworth - Sutton United	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 WTLLT

Latest Head to Head

English National League
15.02.14	Barnet - Tamworth	1:0
13.08.13	Tamworth - Barnet	0:0

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