Match Info

ENGLAND: National League - Round 4

Date: 24 August 2024, Saturday

Location: The Hive Stadium (London)


	Barnet		Southend United

	1	X	2
	1.85	3.5	3.75
	1.87	3.4	3.5
	1.9	3.6	3.75
	1.87	3.71	3.99
	1.89	3.59	3.89	Watch
	2	3.4	3.25
	1.85	3.62	3.83
	1.9	3.6	3.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.89 ↓ (2.08)	3.55 ↑ (3.4)	3.71 ↑ (3.38)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Barnet
49%

Draw
26.1%

Southend United
24.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.9%

27.4%

27.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.4%

27.1%

27.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Barnet has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)

Southend United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Barnet than the current prediction. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Southend United than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Barnet - Southend United Predictions

Users Predictions: Barnet will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Hayes N. (G) 17. Brunt Z. 12. Chapman H. 2. Hall-Johnson R. 18. Hartigan A. 11. Kanu I. 26. Kenlock M. 30. Kizzi J. 19. Shelton M. 10. Stead C. 25. Tavares N.	30. Andeng Ndi C. (G) 7. Bridge J. 9. Cardwell H. 28. Coker O. 5. Crowther A. 8. Husin N. 17. Miley C. 3. Ralph N. 2. Scott-Morriss G. 16. Taylor H. 10. Waldron D.
Substitutes
3. Coker B. 7. Francis J. 13. Gillmore J. (G) 15. Glover R. 31. Nartey R. 6. Okimo J. 5. Rye J.	26. Faulkner M. 15. Gubbins J. 25. Hillson J. (G) 20. Moncur G. 23. Morton 4. Wind G. 14. Wood J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
23', Husin N. 🟨,
31', 1 - 0, Chapman H. ⚽,
37', Kizzi J. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
60', Husin N. ↓, Moncur G. ↑,
64', 1 - 1, Scott-Morriss G. ⚽,
70', 2 - 1, Shelton M. (Pen),
71', Chapman H. ↓, Nartey R. ↑,
72', Kanu I. ↓, Glover R. ↑,
74', Waldron D. ↓, Wood J. ↑,
74', Coker O. ↓, Morton ↑,
80', Ralph N. 🟨,
86', Brunt Z. ↓, Francis J. ↑,
90+2', Scott-Morriss G. 🟨,
90+3', Shelton M. ↓, Okimo J. ↑,
90+3', 🟨,

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Barnet won 3.

At the moment teams are feeling good and ready to play.

In this match Barnet is a favorite.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Barnet won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 10-10.

Including matches at home between the teams Barnet won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Barnet
English National League
20.08.24	Barnet - Forest Green Rovers	1:0 ✺
17.08.24	Ebbsfleet United - Barnet	1:2 ✺
10.08.24	Halifax Town - Barnet	2:1 ✺
Club Friendly
03.08.24	Barnet - AFC Wimbledon	2:0 ✺
27.07.24	Hornchurch - Barnet	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.7 WWLWW
- Southend United
English National League
20.08.24	Southend United - Boston United	2:0 ✺
17.08.24	Hartlepool United - Southend United	0:0 ✺
10.08.24	Southend United - York City	1:1 ✺
Club Friendly
03.08.24	Chelmsford City - Southend United	0:1 ✺
30.07.24	Ballyfermot United - Southend United	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 WTTWT

Latest Head to Head

English National League
30.12.23	Barnet - Southend United	1:0
26.12.23	Southend United - Barnet	0:2
03.03.23	Southend United - Barnet	0:1
01.11.22	Barnet - Southend United	0:3
18.04.22	Barnet - Southend United	1:3
01.02.22	Southend United - Barnet	2:1
English League Two
26.02.13	Barnet - Southend United	2:0

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