Match Info

Date: 5 March 2022, Saturday


	Barnet		Dover Athletic

	1	X	2
	1.65	3.6	4.75
	1.66	3.7	4.75
	1.67	3.7	4.6
	1.66	3.65	4.6
	1.72	3.94	4.67
	1.6	3.7	5
	1.71	3.84	4.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.67 ↑ (1.61)	3.73 ↓ (3.85)	4.72 ↓ (4.82)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Barnet
55.6%

Draw
24.8%

Dover Athletic
19.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57%

23.9%

19.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.4%

19.9%

15.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Barnet has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

Dover Athletic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barnet than the current prediction. (+12.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Barnet, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dover Athletic than the current prediction. (-3.7%)

Barnet - Dover Athletic Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 19 and 23 in the zone Relegation).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Barnet won 3.

Barnet is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Dover has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Dover could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Barnet is a favorite.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Barnet won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 12-8.

Including matches at home between the teams Barnet won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Barnet
English National League
26.02.22	Halifax Town - Barnet	1:0 ✺
22.02.22	Barnet - King`s Lynn Town	0:0 ✺
19.02.22	Torquay United - Barnet	2:2 ✺
12.02.22	Barnet - Wealdstone	1:3 ✺
08.02.22	Notts County - Barnet	6:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 LTTLL
- Dover Athletic
English National League
26.02.22	Dover Athletic - Grimsby Town	1:3 ✺
22.02.22	Aldershot Town - Dover Athletic	0:0 ✺
12.02.22	Dover Athletic - Torquay United	1:3 ✺
05.02.22	Stockport County - Dover Athletic	1:0 ✺
29.01.22	Dover Athletic - Southend United	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 LTLLL

Latest Head to Head

English National League
09.10.21	Dover Athletic - Barnet	1:2
26.01.21	Dover Athletic - Barnet	3:1
13.08.19	Barnet - Dover Athletic	0:1
22.12.18	Barnet - Dover Athletic	2:0
01.09.18	Dover Athletic - Barnet	1:2
28.12.14	Barnet - Dover Athletic	2:2
10.09.14	Dover Athletic - Barnet	0:3

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