Match Info

Date: 22 February 2022, Tuesday


	Aldershot Town		Dover Athletic

	1	X	2
	1.45	4	7
	1.49	4.1	6
	1.4	4.35	6.5
	1.5	4.2	5.4
	1.54	4.27	5.97
	1.36	4.2	7.5
	1.5	4.35	6.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.46 ↑ (1.36)	4.21 ↓ (4.4)	6.36 ↓ (7.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Aldershot Town
63.4%

Draw
22%

Dover Athletic
14.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

67.3%

20.8%

11.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.8%

12.3%

20.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aldershot Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

Dover Athletic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aldershot Town than the current prediction. (-23.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Aldershot Town that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dover Athletic than the current prediction. (+5.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Dover Athletic could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Aldershot Town - Dover Athletic Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 18 and 23 in the zone Relegation).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Aldershot won 3.

Recent matches Aldershot is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Dover is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Aldershot is the unquestionable favorite.

Last 14 head-to-head matches Aldershot won 8 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 24-18.

Including matches at home between the teams Aldershot won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 11-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Aldershot Town
English National League
12.02.22	Grimsby Town - Aldershot Town	3:1 ✺
05.02.22	Aldershot Town - Barnet	1:3 ✺
29.01.22	Weymouth - Aldershot Town	0:1 ✺
25.01.22	Aldershot Town - Southend United	1:1 ✺
22.01.22	Chesterfield - Aldershot Town	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 LLWTT
- Dover Athletic
English National League
12.02.22	Dover Athletic - Torquay United	1:3 ✺
05.02.22	Stockport County - Dover Athletic	1:0 ✺
29.01.22	Dover Athletic - Southend United	0:1 ✺
25.01.22	Dover Athletic - Eastleigh	1:0 ✺
22.01.22	Solihull Moors - Dover Athletic	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.8 LLLWL

Latest Head to Head

English National League
05.10.21	Dover Athletic - Aldershot Town	1:2
13.10.20	Dover Athletic - Aldershot Town	0:5
25.01.20	Dover Athletic - Aldershot Town	2:0
08.10.19	Aldershot Town - Dover Athletic	4:0
19.04.19	Dover Athletic - Aldershot Town	1:0
22.09.18	Aldershot Town - Dover Athletic	2:0
06.01.18	Dover Athletic - Aldershot Town	1:2

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