Match Info

ENGLAND: National League - Round 46

Date: 20 April 2024, Saturday

Location: The Hive Stadium (London)


	Barnet		Kidderminster Harriers

	1	X	2
	1.55	4.2	4.5
	1.55	3.9	4.6
	1.55	4.2	5.5
	1.57	4.02	5.25
	1.57	4.03	5.25
	1.5	4	5.5
	1.57	4.04	5.14
	1.55	4.1	4.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.55 ↓ (1.61)	4.06 ↓ (4.07)	5.06 ↑ (5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Barnet
59.2%

Draw
22.6%

Kidderminster Harriers
18.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.2%

23%

18.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61%

21.9%

17.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Barnet has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

Kidderminster Harriers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barnet than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kidderminster Harriers than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

Barnet - Kidderminster Harriers Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Keeley J. (G) 33. Brunt Z. 3. Coker B. 4. Collinge D. 32. Cropper J. 12. Freeman L. 8. Gorman D. (C) 18. Hartigan A. 9. Kabamba N. 11. Kanu I. 6. Okimo J.	21. Dibble C. (G) 14. Brown Z. 35. Emmanuel-Thomas J. 10. Hemmings A. 9. Morgan-Smith A. (C) 12. Oxlade-Chamberlain C. 16. Preston M. 3. Richards C. 20. Robinson S. 29. Rubio N. A. 31. Weston C.
Substitutes
2. Hall-Johnson R. 24. Matejko P. 19. O'Donkor G. 22. Oluwo A. 1. Walker L. (G)	13. Bishop J. 24. Griffiths R. 28. Hall K. 25. Hewett S. 6. McNally R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
33', 1 - 0, Collinge D. ⚽,
44', 2 - 0, Kabamba N. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
48', 3 - 0, Freeman L. ⚽,
54', Rubio N. A. ↓, McNally R. ↑,
60', 3 - 1, Weston C. ⚽,
62', Okimo J. ↓, O'Donkor G. ↑,
62', Kabamba N. ↓, Oluwo A. ↑,
66', Emmanuel-Thomas J. ↓, Hall K. ↑,
71', Brunt Z. ↓, Matejko P. ↑,
73', Dibble C. ↓, Bishop J. ↑,
76', Oxlade-Chamberlain C. 🟨,
90+4', 4 - 1, Kanu I. ⚽,

Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ National League (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 22 in the zone Relegation).

Barnet is Qualified for National League (Play Offs Semi~finals)

Kidderminster is Relegated to

Barnet is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Kidderminster is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Kidderminster could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Barnet is a favorite.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Barnet won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Barnet won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Barnet
English National League
13.04.24	Halifax Town - Barnet	0:2 ✺
09.04.24	Barnet - Bromley	1:1 ✺
06.04.24	Maidenhead United - Barnet	2:2 ✺
01.04.24	Barnet - Oxford City	3:1 ✺
29.03.24	Solihull Moors - Barnet	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 WTTWT
- Kidderminster Harriers
English National League
13.04.24	Kidderminster Harriers - Eastleigh	0:1 ✺
06.04.24	Kidderminster Harriers - Halifax Town	0:2 ✺
01.04.24	Chesterfield - Kidderminster Harriers	1:3 ✺
29.03.24	Kidderminster Harriers - Altrincham	1:3 ✺
23.03.24	Wealdstone - Kidderminster Harriers	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13 LLWLT

Latest Head to Head

English National League
30.09.23	Kidderminster Harriers - Barnet	1:2
18.04.15	Kidderminster Harriers - Barnet	1:1
11.10.14	Barnet - Kidderminster Harriers	3:3
15.03.14	Kidderminster Harriers - Barnet	1:0
02.11.13	Barnet - Kidderminster Harriers	1:0

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