Match Info

Date: 1 April 2024, Monday 🏁 Finished


	Chesterfield		Kidderminster Harriers

	1	X	2
	1.45	4.33	5.5
	1.44	4.2	5.5
	1.47	4.5	6
	1.48	4.74	5.9
	1.48	4.74	5.88
	1.4	4.33	6.5
	1.45	4.4	6.12
	1.43	4.4	5.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.45 ↑ (1.43)	4.46 ↓ (4.59)	5.9 ↑ (5.89)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Chesterfield
63.6%

Draw
20.7%

Kidderminster Harriers
15.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

64.3%

20.1%

15.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.3%

18.9%

14.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chesterfield has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

Kidderminster Harriers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chesterfield than the current prediction. (+4.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kidderminster Harriers than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

Chesterfield - Kidderminster Harriers Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Boot R. (G) 33. Clements B. 17. Dobra A. 16. Freckleton M. 15. Hobson B. 35. Jones M. 20. King J. 7. Mandeville L. 4. Naylor T. (C) 21. Palmer A. 27. Quigley J.	21. Dibble C. (G) 14. Brown Z. 10. Hemmings A. 6. McNally R. 9. Morgan-Smith A. (C) 12. Oxlade-Chamberlain C. 2. Penny A. 16. Preston M. 3. Richards C. 20. Robinson S. 31. Weston C.
Substitutes
28. Banks O. 18. Berry-McNally J. 40. Cook C. 24. Curtis H. 8. Oldaker D.	19. Bellis S. 30. Emmanuel-Thomas J. 24. Griffiths R. 22. Kpekawa C. 11. Lambert J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
6', 0 - 1, Hemmings A. ⚽,
28', Brown Z. 🟨,
31', 1 - 1, Preston M. (Own goal),
2nd Half (0 - 2)
48', 1 - 2, Brown Z. ⚽,
49', Naylor T. 🟨,
52', Robinson S. 🟨,
58', 1 - 3, Preston M. ⚽,
59', Hobson B. ↓, Berry-McNally J. ↑,
60', Jones M. ↓, Banks O. ↑,
66', Dobra A. 🟨,
74', Freckleton M. ↓, Curtis H. ↑,
79', Robinson S. ↓, Griffiths R. ↑,
86', Preston M. ↓, Kpekawa C. ↑,
90+1', Hemmings A. ↓, Bellis S. ↑,
90+2', 🟨,

Preview

This match will be played by one of a leader and an outsider (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ League Two and 22 in the zone Relegation).

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Kidderminster could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Chesterfield is the unquestionable favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Chesterfield won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Chesterfield
English National League
29.03.24	York City - Chesterfield	2:1 ✺
23.03.24	Chesterfield - Boreham Wood	3:0 ✺
20.03.24	Halifax Town - Chesterfield	4:2 ✺
16.03.24	Oldham Athletic - Chesterfield	2:2 ✺
12.03.24	Chesterfield - Oxford City	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 LWLTW
- Kidderminster Harriers
English National League
29.03.24	Kidderminster Harriers - Altrincham	1:3 ✺
23.03.24	Wealdstone - Kidderminster Harriers	1:1 ✺
16.03.24	Bromley - Kidderminster Harriers	0:0 ✺
12.03.24	Kidderminster Harriers - Fylde	1:1 ✺
09.03.24	Kidderminster Harriers - York City	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 LTTTT

Latest Head to Head

English National League
28.10.23	Kidderminster Harriers - Chesterfield	1:3

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