The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Barnsley 54.1%
Draw 24.3%
Burton Albion 21.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
46.5%
26.4%
27.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
47.9%
27.2%
26.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Barnsley has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.6%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Barnsley's performance.
Burton Albion has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Burton Albion might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Barnsley than the current prediction. (-6.2%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Barnsley that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Burton Albion than the current prediction. (+4.7%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
87.2%
2.6%
10.3%
Barnsley - Burton Albion Predictions
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
AH -0.75 - Barnsley (1.82) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Barnsley will win
(34 of 39 users predict this - 87.18%). Confidence interval (95%): 76.69% – 97.67%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Barnsley will win (26 of 26 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 27 Selected Experts predict this event. Barnsley (votes: 27 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Cooper M. (G) 6. de Gevigney M. 30. Bland J. 32. Earl J. 14. Ogbeta N. 48. Connell L. (C) 45. Yoganathan V. 7. Vickers C. 8. Phillips A. 40. Keillor-Dunn D. 10. McGoldrick D.
21. Amissah J. (G) 2. Godwin-Malife U. (C) 18. Moon J. 6. Sibbick T. 15. Lofthouse K. 4. Chauke K. 8. Webster C. 19. Williams D. 7. McKiernan J. J. 11. Tavares F. 9. Beesley J.
Substitutes
29. Barratt C. 19. Cleary R. 51. Flavell K. (G) 22. Kelly P. 3. Russell J. 27. Watson T. 33. Woodcock R.
14. Akoto N. 26. Delap F. 25. Gilligan C. 32. Isted H. (G) 22. Larsson J. 10. Shade T. 20. Sraha J.
Coaches
Hourihane C.
Bowyer G.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 2)
4', 0 - 1, Beesley J. (Pen),
35', 0 - 2, Tavares F. ⚽, McKiernan J. J. (A),
45+3', Earl J. 🟨,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
55', 1 - 2, Vickers C. ⚽, Phillips A. (A),
58', Chauke K. ↓, Gilligan C. ↑,
63', 2 - 2, Keillor-Dunn D. ⚽,
65', 🟨,
71', Tavares F. ↓, Shade T. ↑,
72', Yoganathan V. ↓, Kelly P. ↑,
72', Vickers C. ↓, Cleary R. ↑,
82', McKiernan J. J. 🟨,
86', Kelly P. 🟨,
87', Williams D. ↓, Akoto N. ↑,
87', McKiernan J. J. ↓, Larsson J. ↑,
90+3', 3 - 2, McGoldrick D. ⚽,
90+5', McGoldrick D. ↓, Russell J. ↑,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Barnsley won 3.
In recent matches, Barnsley has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Burton is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
Burton may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Barnsley has had a series of away games.
Recently, Burton has had a series of home games.
In this match, Barnsley is the team to beat.
There will not play in Barnsley: Shepherd J.
(Red Card)
In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Barnsley won 7 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 23:12. (average 1.5:0.8).
Including home matches between the teams, Barnsley won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 12:3. (average 1.5:0.4).