The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Barnsley 37.2%
Draw 25.3%
Oxford United 37.5%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
34.6%
25.5%
39.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
33.4%
24.7%
41.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Barnsley has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)
Oxford United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Barnsley than the current prediction. (-3.8%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Oxford United than the current prediction. (+4.4%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
0%
0%
Barnsley - Oxford United Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Preview
A struggling side attempts to pull off an upset against a high-flying opponent (ranked 23rd in the Relegation - League Two and 3rd in the Promotion - League One Playoffs).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Barnsley won 3.
Barnsley has struggled for results with multiple recent losses (last 5 matches: 0 wins).
Oxford shows confident form ahead of this contest (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Barnsley could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
Recently, Barnsley has faced a series of away games on the road.
The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.
Our forecast points to a victory for Oxford in today's match, at odds of 2.48.
In the last 7 head-to-head meetings, Barnsley has recorded 5 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 15:8 (averaging 2.1:1.1 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Barnsley against this opponent, the record stands at 3 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 10:5 goals (averaging 2.5:1.3 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
3
Oxford Utd
11
6
4
1
19:10
9
22
23
Barnsley
11
2
2
7
11:21
-10
8
Outrights of English League One for now
Oxford Utd: 6.64% Barnsley: 0.24%
Last Results with these Odds
Barnsley - the odds 2.7 are the expected chance of winning is 34.58%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.
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