Match Info

ENGLAND: LEAGUE ONE - ROUND 4

Date: 19 August 2023, Saturday

Location: Oakwell (Barnsley)

Referee: Coy M. (Eng)


	Barnsley		Oxford United

	1	X	2
	2.2	3.4	3.3
	2.15	3.4	3.2
	2.1	3.5	3.5
	2.2	3.48	3.42
	2.05	3.2	3.1
	2.18	3.34	3.34	Watch
	2.18	3.35	3.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.15 ↑ (1.84)	3.38 ↓ (3.55)	3.31 ↓ (4.12)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Barnsley
43.7%

Draw
27.8%

Oxford United
28.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.9%

26.4%

22.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.2%

25.7%

22.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Barnsley has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Barnsley's form might have worsened.

Oxford United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Oxford United's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barnsley than the current prediction. (+8.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Barnsley, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Oxford United than the current prediction. (-6.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Oxford United, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	16.7%	8.3%

Barnsley - Oxford United Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Barnsley will win (votes: 9 - 75%). Oxford will win (votes: 1 - 8.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 16.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Barnsley: 50.5% – 99.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Roberts L. (G) 6. Durand de Gevigney M. 4. Lopata K. 5. Kitching L. (C) 2. Williams J. 8. Kane H. 30. Phillips A. 7. Cadden N. 20. Styles C. 16. Dallas A. 44. Cole D.	1. Beadle J. (G) 2. Long S. 5. Moore E. (C) 28. Negru S. 3. Brown C. 18. McGuane M. 8. Brannagan C. 11. Browne M. 10. Bodin B. 7. Mills S. 9. Harris M.
Substitutes
17. Cotter B. 23. Killip B. (G) 19. Marsh A. 32. Nejman H. L. 3. Russell J. 41. Shepherd J. 36. Watters M.	13. Eastwood S. (G) 19. Goodrham T. 6. McEachran J. 39. O'Donkor G. 20. Rodrigues R. 14. Smyth O. 15. Stevens F.
Coaches
Collins N.	Manning L.

Preview

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Recently Barnsley have a series of home games.

Barnsley will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Barnsley won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 13-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Barnsley won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 9-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Barnsley FC
English League One
15.08.23	Barnsley - Peterborough United	1:3 ✺
12.08.23	Bristol Rovers - Barnsley	1:1 ✺
English League Cup
08.08.23	Barnsley - Tranmere Rovers	2:3 penalties ✺
English League One
05.08.23	Barnsley - Port Vale	7:0 ✺
Club Friendly
29.07.23	Barnsley - Crewe Alexandra	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 LTLWW
- Oxford United
English League One
15.08.23	Derby County - Oxford United	1:2 ✺
12.08.23	Oxford United - Carlisle United	1:0 ✺
English League Cup
09.08.23	Bristol City - Oxford United	5:1 ✺
English League One
05.08.23	Cambridge United - Oxford United	2:0 ✺
Club Friendly
29.07.23	Oxford United - Queens Park Rangers	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.9 WWLLW

Latest Head to Head

English League One
22.04.23	Barnsley - Oxford United	2:0
01.02.23	Oxford United - Barnsley	1:2
29.01.19	Oxford United - Barnsley	2:2
04.08.18	Barnsley - Oxford United	4:0
English EFL Trophy
03.04.16	Barnsley - Oxford United	3:2

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