Match Info

EFL Cup - 1/64-finals

Date: 13 August 2025, Wednesday

Location: Oakwell (Barnsley)

Referee: Brook C. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


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United-kingdom	Sky Sports+


	Barnsley		Fleetwood Town

	1	X	2
	1.7	3.8	4.75	Watch
	1.75	4	4.33
	1.7	3.95	4.45	Watch
	1.72	3.92	4.51
	1.25	5.48	11.66	Watch
	1.75	3.6	4.33
	1.73	3.92	4.57	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.66 ↓ (1.73)	4.1 ↑ (3.77)	5.51 ↑ (4.46)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Barnsley
58.6%

Draw
23.7%

Fleetwood Town
17.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.1%

24.9%

21%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Barnsley has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)

Fleetwood Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
94.1%	5.9%	0%

Barnsley - Fleetwood Town Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +2.5 - Fleetwood (1.11) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DNB - Barnsley (1.31) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .

BTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Barnsley will win (16 of 17 users predict this - 94.12%).
Confidence interval (95%): 82.94% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Barnsley will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Barnsley (votes: 6 - 85.7%). Fleetwood (votes: 1 - 14.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Cooper M. (G) 27. Watson T. 29. Barratt C. 5. Shepherd J. 14. Ogbeta N. 30. Bland J. 19. Cleary R. 7. Vickers C. 22. Kelly P. 3. Russell J. 40. Keillor-Dunn D. (C)	1. Harrington D. (G) 26. Rooney S. 44. Mullarkey T. 34. Roberts L. 25. Johnson W. 5. Potter F. 20. Neal H. 8. Virtue-Thick M. (C) 17. Evans C. 11. Norwood J. 23. Morrison G.
Substitutes
48. Connell L. 39. Farrell L. 23. Farrugia N. 51. Flavell K. (G) 8. Phillips A. 33. Woodcock R. 45. Yoganathan V.	39. Cirino R. 9. Davies W. 29. Devonport O. 7. Graydon R. 10. Helm M. 18. Holgate H. 33. Hume D. 13. Lynch J. (G) 3. Medley Z.
Coaches
Hourihane C.	Wild P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
15', 1 - 0, Russell J. ⚽, Cleary R. (A),
45+1', 1 - 1, Mullarkey T. ⚽, Roberts L. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Keillor-Dunn D. ↓, Farrell L. ↑,
59', 2 - 1, Mullarkey T. (Own goal),
60', Mullarkey T. ↓, Holgate H. ↑,
60', Vickers C. ↓, Farrugia N. ↑,
60', Bland J. ↓, Yoganathan V. ↑,
73', Evans C. ↓, Helm M. ↑,
73', Virtue-Thick M. ↓, Graydon R. ↑,
74', Rooney S. ↓, Hume D. ↑,
79', Shepherd J. ↓, Connell L. ↑,
83', Neal H. ↓, Devonport O. ↑,
90+3', Ogbeta N. ↓, Woodcock R. ↑,
90+4', 2 - 2, Devonport O. ⚽, Johnson W. (A),
90+8', Cooper M. 🟨,
Penalties (5 - 4)
1, Connell L. (Pen),
1, Graydon R. (Pen),
2, Russell J. (Pen),
2, Helm M. (Pen),
3, Farrugia N. (Pen),
3, Devonport O. (Pen),
4, Farrell L. (Pen),
4, Hume D. (Pen),
5, Kelly P. (Pen),
5, Norwood J. (Pen),
6, Cleary R. (Pen),
6, Morrison G. (Pen),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Barnsley won 4.

Barnsley is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Recently, Barnsley has had a series of away games.

In this match, Barnsley is a strong favorite.

In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Barnsley won 7 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 20:12. (average 1.7:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Barnsley won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 10:9. (average 1.7:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Barnsley FC
English League One
09.08.25	Barnsley - Burton Albion	3:2 ✺
02.08.25	Plymouth Argyle - Barnsley	1:3 ✺
Club Friendly
22.07.25	York City - Barnsley	2:2 ✺
19.07.25	Harrogate Town - Barnsley	0:3 ✺
08.07.25	Buxton - Barnsley	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 WWTWL
- Fleetwood Town
English League Two
09.08.25	Fleetwood Town - Bristol Rovers	2:1 ✺
02.08.25	Barnet - Fleetwood Town	0:2 ✺
Club Friendly
26.07.25	Fleetwood Town - Coleraine	2:1 ✺
05.07.25	Bamber Bridge - Fleetwood Town	0:4 ✺
English League Two
03.05.25	Bradford City - Fleetwood Town	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.5 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

English League One
17.02.24	Fleetwood Town - Barnsley	1:2
28.10.23	Barnsley - Fleetwood Town	2:2
29.12.22	Barnsley - Fleetwood Town	2:1
01.10.22	Fleetwood Town - Barnsley	0:1
13.04.19	Barnsley - Fleetwood Town	4:2
29.09.18	Fleetwood Town - Barnsley	1:3
19.03.16	Fleetwood Town - Barnsley	0:2

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