Match Info

League Two - Round 7

Date: 19 September 2026, Saturday

Location: The Hive Stadium (London)

Referee: Jackson S. (Eng)


	Barnet		Fleetwood Town

	1	X	2
	1.62	3.70	5.00	Watch
	1.65	3.80	4.80
	1.64	3.70	4.50
	1.72	3.87	5.45
	1.69	3.96	4.44	Watch
	1.63	3.80	5.35
	1.70	3.70	4.75	Watch
	1.68	3.70	4.70
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.67 ↓ (1.77)	3.78 ↑ (3.74)	4.87 ↑ (3.99)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Barnet
56.1%

Draw
24.7%

Fleetwood Town
19.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.2%

24.7%

23.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.2%

24.2%

22.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Barnet has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)

Fleetwood Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Barnet than the current prediction. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fleetwood Town than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

Barnet - Fleetwood Town Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Cox M. (G) 5. Senior A. 4. Collinge D. (C) 6. Williams Z. 3. Crichlow R. 14. Comley B. 22. Gallagher O. 11. Kanu I. 8. Lakin C. 7. Knowles T. 20. Tshimanga K.	1. Lynch J. (G) 26. Rooney S. (C) 6. Bennett R. 5. Potter F. 4. Neal H. 14. McCann L. 15. Murphy A. 10. Helm M. 3. Andrew D. 19. Coughlan R. 9. Davies W.
Substitutes
17. Ajayi D. 36. Haralambous A. (G) 9. Maskell J. 32. Noel-Williams I. 10. Ofoborh N. 23. Reeves J. 12. Wright W.	29. Cirino R. 17. Evans C. 16. Haughey C. 20. Loupalo-Bi A. 27. McLean C. 22. Pradic J. (G) 28. Robertson J.
Coaches
Brennan D.	Lawlor M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
10', 1 - 0, Tshimanga K. (Penalty Awarded),
36', 1 - 1, Davies W. ⚽,
43', Rooney S. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
60', 2 - 1, Lakin C. ⚽,
62', 3 - 1, Kanu I. ⚽, Tshimanga K. (A),
63', Davies W. ↓, Evans C. ↑,
64', Coughlan R. ↓, Loupalo-Bi A. ↑,
69', Gallagher O. 🟨,
73', Gallagher O. ↓, Ofoborh N. ↑,
75', Kanu I. 🟨,
76', Murphy A. ↓, Robertson J. ↑,
76', Bennett R. ↓, Haughey C. ↑,
77', Kanu I. ↓, Maskell J. ↑,
78', Knowles T. ↓, Noel-Williams I. ↑,
85', Ofoborh N. 🟨,
85', Ofoborh N. 🟨,
90+1', Tshimanga K. ↓, Ajayi D. ↑,
90+5', Evans C. 🟨,

Preview

A clash between two contenders competing at the top of the table (ranked 1st in the Promotion ~ League One and 7th in the Promotion ~ League Two PlayoffsSemi~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Barnet won 2.

Both teams are currently displaying solid and consistent form.

Fleetwood may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

Bookmakers give the edge to Barnet for this game.

Confirmed absences for Fleetwood: Thompson-Sommers K. (Inactive).

Doubtful / questionable for Barnet: Smith K. (Inactive).

Doubtful / questionable for Fleetwood: Cannon A. (Inactive).

In the last 6 head-to-head meetings, Barnet has recorded 2 wins, 0 draws, and 4 losses, with a goal aggregate of 9:10 (averaging 1.5:1.7 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Barnet against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with 2:4 goals (averaging 0.7:1.3 per game).

Outrights of English League Two for now

Barnet: 21.27%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Barnet	8	5	3	0	20:11	9	18
16	Fleetwood	10	2	5	3	10:11	-1	11

Last Results with these Odds

Barnet - the odds 1.77 are the expected chance of winning is 52.15%, but this team recently wins 60% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Barnet
English League Two
12.09.26	Barnet - Accrington Stanley	2:1 ✺
05.09.26	Chesterfield - Barnet	3:3 ✺
01.09.26	Exeter City - Barnet	1:1 ✺
29.08.26	Barnet - Cheltenham Town	2:2 ✺
22.08.26	Shrewsbury Town - Barnet	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 WTTTW
- Fleetwood Town
English League Cup
16.09.26	Fleetwood Town - Sheffield United	1:0 ✺
English League Two
12.09.26	Newport County - Fleetwood Town	1:1 ✺
05.09.26	Fleetwood Town - Shrewsbury Town	2:0 ✺
01.09.26	Fleetwood Town - Oldham Athletic	1:1 ✺
29.08.26	Grimsby Town - Fleetwood Town	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.5 WTWTT

Latest Head to Head

English League Two
06.04.26	Fleetwood Town - Barnet	2:5
English FA Cup
01.11.25	Fleetwood Town - Barnet	2:1
English League Two
02.08.25	Barnet - Fleetwood Town	0:2
English FA Cup
10.11.19	Barnet - Fleetwood Town	0:2
English League Two
19.03.13	Barnet - Fleetwood Town	2:0
29.09.12	Fleetwood Town - Barnet	2:1

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