Match Info

Copa Venezuela - Round 5

Date: 7 October 2026, Wednesday


	Barquisimeto		Aragua

	1	X	2
	2.50	3.25	2.45
	2.55	3.30	2.45
	2.59	3.30	2.45
	2.56	3.44	2.46	Watch
	2.55	3.10	2.40
	2.52	3.88	2.41	Watch
	2.49	3.30	2.42
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.54 ↑ (2.44)	3.37 ↓ (3.39)	2.43 ↓ (2.48)

The most likely Over/Under: 6.25

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Barquisimeto
35.8%

Draw
27%

Aragua
37.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37%

26.6%

36.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37%

26.6%

36.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Barquisimeto has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

Aragua has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barquisimeto than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aragua than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

Barquisimeto - Aragua Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
18', 1 - 0, Rondon J. (Penalty Awarded),
29', 1 - 1, Di Modugno R. ⚽,
45', 1 - 2, Perez K. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
52', 1 - 3, Garcia J. ⚽,
59', 1 - 4, Maza R. ⚽,

Preview

Both teams are currently displaying solid and consistent form.

Barquisimeto may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.

In the last 3 head-to-head meetings, Barquisimeto has recorded 3 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 6:2 (averaging 2:0.7 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Barquisimeto against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with 3:1 goals.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Barquisimeto SC
Venezuelan Segunda Division
03.10.26	Barquisimeto - Atlético El Vigía	2:4 ✺
30.09.26	Atlético Barinas - Barquisimeto	1:2 ✺
26.09.26	Barquisimeto - Ureña	3:0 ✺
16.09.26	Zamora 2 - Barquisimeto	0:2 ✺
12.09.26	Barquisimeto - Puerto Cabello B	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 LWWWT
- Aragua FC
Venezuelan Segunda Division
27.09.26	Aragua - Atletico Avila	1:0 ✺
20.09.26	Bolivar - Aragua	1:1 ✺
13.09.26	Aragua - Deportivo Miranda	2:1 ✺
Copa Venezuela
09.09.26	Yaracuyanos - Aragua	2:5 ✺
Venezuelan Segunda Division
05.09.26	Monagas B - Aragua	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.4 WTWWT

Latest Head to Head

Copa Venezuela
19.08.26	Aragua - Barquisimeto	0:1
Venezuelan Segunda Division
30.09.24	Aragua - Barquisimeto	1:2
15.08.24	Barquisimeto - Aragua	3:1

Barquisimeto - Aragua: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide