The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Barquisimeto 29.8%
Draw 28.1%
Deportivo Lara 42.1%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
35.2%
27.8%
37%
Our Initial ML Estimation
35.4%
28%
36.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Barquisimeto has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Barquisimeto's form might have worsened.
Deportivo Lara has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Deportivo Lara's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barquisimeto than the current prediction. (+5.6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Barquisimeto, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Lara than the current prediction. (-5.5%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Deportivo Lara, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
67', 0 - 1, ⚽,
Preview
Barquisimeto is going through a lean spell lately (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Performances by Deportivo Lara have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Barquisimeto could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.
In the last 3 head-to-head meetings, Barquisimeto has recorded 0 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 2:4 (averaging 0.7:1.3 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Barquisimeto against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 0:1 goals.
Last Results with these Odds
Barquisimeto - the odds 2.53 are the expected chance of winning is 35.24%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.
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