The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Deportivo Lara 71.7%
Draw 17.1%
Ureña 11.3%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
63.9%
20.5%
15.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
67.1%
18.7%
14.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Deportivo Lara has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.8%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Deportivo Lara's performance.
Ureña has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Lara than the current prediction. (-4.6%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ureña than the current prediction. (+2.9%)
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
38', 0 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
50', 1 - 1, ⚽,
55', 2 - 1, ⚽,
66', 2 - 2, ⚽,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Deportivo Lara won 2.
In recent outings, Deportivo Lara has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Ureña is experiencing a dip in performance (last 5 matches: 0 wins).
The betting markets point to Deportivo Lara as the clear and undisputed favorite.
In the last 8 head-to-head meetings, Deportivo Lara has recorded 3 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses, with a goal aggregate of 10:8 (averaging 1.3:1 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Deportivo Lara against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with 9:7 goals (averaging 2.3:1.8 per game).