Match Info

Serie D - Round 11

Date: 5 July 2025, Saturday

Location: Estádio Doutor Hercílio Luz (Itajaí)


	Barra Santa Catarina		Azuriz

	1	X	2
	1.61	3.25	5.25
	1.6	3.25	5.35
	1.6	3.3	5.64
				Watch
	1.68	3.67	4.98
	1.82	3.35	3.66
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.66 ↓ (1.84)	3.36 ↓ (3.4)	4.98 ↑ (3.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Barra Santa Catarina
54.7%

Draw
27%

Azuriz
18.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.1%

26.5%

24.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.2%

25.9%

23.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Barra Santa Catarina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Barra Santa Catarina's performance.

Azuriz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Azuriz might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Barra Santa Catarina than the current prediction. (-4.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Azuriz than the current prediction. (+5.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Azuriz could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Barra Santa Catarina - Azuriz Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
69', 1 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D (Play Offs: 1/16~finals) and 5).

Barra is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Azuriz's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Azuriz may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Barra is seen as the favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Barra won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Barra Santa Catarina
Brazilian Serie D
30.06.25	Barra Santa Catarina - Joinville	1:0 ✺
21.06.25	Barra Santa Catarina - Guarany de Bagé	3:0 ✺
14.06.25	EC São José Porto Alegre - Barra Santa Catarina	3:3 ✺
01.06.25	Guarany de Bagé - Barra Santa Catarina	0:2 ✺
24.05.25	Barra Santa Catarina - EC São José Porto Alegre	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14 WWTWT
- Azuriz FC
Brazilian Serie D
29.06.25	Azuriz - Náutico Marcílio Dias	1:1 ✺
15.06.25	Guarany de Bagé - Azuriz	0:1 ✺
08.06.25	Azuriz - EC São José Porto Alegre	1:3 ✺
31.05.25	EC São José Porto Alegre - Azuriz	1:0 ✺
25.05.25	Azuriz - Guarany de Bagé	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 TWLLT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie D
10.05.25	Azuriz - Barra Santa Catarina	0:1

Barra Santa Catarina - Azuriz: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide