The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
EC São José Porto Alegre 40.5%
Draw 31.3%
Barra Santa Catarina 28.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
39.7%
31.2%
29.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
40.7%
30.4%
28.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
EC São José Porto Alegre has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)
Barra Santa Catarina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for EC São José Porto Alegre than the current prediction. (+0.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barra Santa Catarina than the current prediction. (+0.2%)
EC São José Porto Alegre - Barra Santa Catarina Predictions
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
7', 1 - 0, Giovane Gomez (Pen),
21', Jadson 🟥,
45+2', 1 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 2)
56', 2 - 1, Kayan ⚽,
58', 2 - 2, Saymon ⚽,
67', 2 - 3, ⚽,
80', 3 - 3, ⚽,
90+6', 🟥,
Preview
The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D (Play Offs: 1/16~finals) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D (Play Offs: 1/16~finals))
Right now, both teams are showing solid form.
Barra may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
EC São José will hold a modest advantage in this match.
In the last 1 head-to-head match, EC São José won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.
Last Results with these Odds
Barra Santa Catarina - the odds 3.13 are the expected chance of winning is 29.08%, but this team recently wins 13% of matches with these odds.
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