Match Info
Serie D - Round 8Date: 21 June 2025, SaturdayLocation: Estádio Doutor Hercílio Luz (Itajaí)
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Barra Santa Catarina |
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Guarany de Bagé |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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 |
1.8 |
3.3 |
3.8 |
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 |
1.59 |
3.6 |
5.35 |
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Watch |
 |
1.69 |
3.77 |
4.71 |
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 |
1.82 |
3.5 |
3.6 |
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Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.73 ↓ (1.8) |
3.54 ↓ (3.6) |
4.37 ↑ (3.6) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
- The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Barra Santa Catarina 53.1% | Draw 25.9% | Guarany de Bagé 21% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Barra Santa Catarina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)Guarany de Bagé has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Barra Santa Catarina than the current prediction. (-1.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Guarany de Bagé than the current prediction. (+3%)Barra Santa Catarina - Guarany de Bagé Predictions
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Barra (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- AH +0.75 - Guarany de Bagé (1.63) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Barra (votes: 1 - 50%). Guarany de Bagé (votes: 1 - 50%). Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 12', 🟥,
- 26', 1 - 0, Renan Bernabe ⚽,
- 37', 2 - 0, Saymon ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 67', 3 - 0, Da Rocha ⚽,
Preview
This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D (Play Offs: 1/16~finals) and 8).Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.Recently, Barra has had a series of away games. In this match, Barra is the team to beat.In the last 1 head-to-head match, Barra won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;