Match Info
Catarinense - Round 6Date: 25 January 2026, SundayLocation: Estádio Doutor Hercílio Luz (Itajaí)
|
 |
|
 |
|
|
Barra Santa Catarina |
|
Concórdia |
|
|
1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
|
|
|
 Watch |
 |
1.32 |
4.35 |
9.8 |
|
 |
1.32 |
4.23 |
11.82 |
|
 |
1.31 |
4.51 |
11.74 |
Watch |
 |
1.3 |
4 |
12 |
|
 |
1.38 |
3.74 |
11.1 |
|
 |
1.33 |
4.2 |
9 |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.33 ↓
(1.57) |
4.17 ↑
(3.32) |
10.91 ↑
(6.4) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
- The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Barra Santa Catarina
69.5% | Draw
22.1% | Concórdia
8.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Barra Santa Catarina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.3%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Barra Santa Catarina's performance.Concórdia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Concórdia might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Barra Santa Catarina than the current prediction. (-12.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Barra Santa Catarina that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Concórdia than the current prediction. (+6.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Concórdia could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.Barra Santa Catarina - Concórdia Predictions
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- AH -1 - Barra (1.62) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Barra (votes: 2 - 100%). Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0 
#ad
Lineups
| Starting Lineups |
1.  Ewerton (G)
7. Cleo Silva
6. Da Rocha
2. Everton Alemao
11. Geovany Soares
8. Henrique Freitas
3. Jean Pierre (C)
9. Renan Bernabe
5. Tete
4. Vava
10. Warley
| 1. Augusto J. (G)
8. Anthonio Sergio
10. Caca
9. Caio Mota
5. Eberson (C)
11. Jackson
2. Kaik
3. Lucas Barboza
6. Matheus Streit
7. Petterson
4. Thiago Freitas
|
| Substitutes |
16. Dionathan
20. Elvinho
12. Fabian Volpi (G)
13. Fabio
23. Gabriel Silva
15. Guilherme Lazaroni
24. Lucas Vargas
21. Nicolas
17. Pablo
18. Pericles
19. Saymon
14. Vitao
| 16. Caike
19. Campos Eric
15. Da Silva
17. Enzo Trentin
20. Hiago
14. Leo Gama
18. Luiz Phillipe
21. Matheus Maia
25. Puerari E.
12. Rodrigo (G)
23. William
|
Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (3 - 1)
- 6', 1 - 0, Geovany Soares ⚽,
- 13', Kaik ↓, Puerari E. ↑,
- 14', Da Rocha 🟨,
- 33', 2 - 0, Renan Bernabe ⚽,
- 38', 🟨,
- 41', 3 - 0, Renan Bernabe ⚽,
- 45+3', 3 - 1, Caio Mota (Penalty Awarded),
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 46', Jackson ↓, Campos Eric ↑,
- 46', Caca ↓, Matheus Maia ↑,
- 51', Anthonio Sergio 🟨,
- 58', Anthonio Sergio ↓, Da Silva ↑,
- 62', Petterson 🟨,
- 70', Caio Mota ↓, Hiago ↑,
- 71', Renan Bernabe ↓, Saymon ↑,
- 71', Da Rocha ↓, Guilherme Lazaroni ↑,
- 78', 4 - 1, Saymon ⚽,
- 79', Geovany Soares ↓, Fabio ↑,
- 79', Cleo Silva ↓, Gabriel Silva ↑,
- 80', 5 - 1, Saymon ⚽,
Preview
Concórdia is Qualified for Catarinense (Play Offs Quarter~finals)In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Barra won 1.Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.Concórdia may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days. In this match, Barra is the clear favorite.In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Barra won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 3:5. (average 0.4:0.6).Including home matches between the teams, Barra won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 3:4. (average 0.6:0.8).
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Get 100% up to 500 SEK + 100 Free spins
