Match Info

Catarinense - Round 1

Date: 7 January 2026, Wednesday

Location: Ressacada (Florianópolis)


	Avaí		Barra Santa Catarina

	1	X	2
	2.15	2.92	3.55
	2.33	2.83	3.49	Watch
	2.05	2.8	3.7
	2.02	2.9	4.14
	1.87	2.9	4.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.08 ↑ (1.85)	2.87 ↓ (3.11)	3.88 ↓ (4.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Avaí
44.2%

Draw
32.1%

Barra Santa Catarina
23.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.5%

29.4%

21.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Avaí has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Avaí's form might have worsened.

Barra Santa Catarina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
85.7%	0%	14.3%

Avaí - Barra Santa Catarina Predictions

Users Predictions: Avaí will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Avaí will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
21. Otavio Passos (G) 3. Allyson 4. Gabriel Simples 10. Jean Lucas 70. Josmar 7. Mauricio Garcez 27. Pedro Cuiaba 36. Teixeira D. 43. Thayllon 2. Wallison 77. Ze Ricardo (C)	1. Ewerton (G) 7. Cleo Silva 6. Da Rocha 5. Everton Alemao 11. Geovany Soares 3. Jean Pierre (C) 2. Kayque 8. Pablo 10. Pericles 9. Renan Bernabe 4. Vava
Substitutes
55. Bruno Baldini 72. Dias K. 20. Gaspar 16. Jamerson 22. Kaua Fernandes 90. Kevin 41. Leo Aragao (G) 17. Nicolas Tadesco 46. Pedro J. 11. Talisson 60. Tucao 19. Vinicius Gugel	12. Arthur Vellasque (G) 15. Barba 17. Elvinho 21. Gabriel Silva 14. Guilherme Lazaroni 24. Henrique Freitas 13. Jackson 20. Nicolas 23. Rodrigues F. 19. Saymon 16. Tete 18. Warley

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
22', Pericles 🟨,
31', 1 - 0, Mauricio Garcez ⚽,
42', Pablo 🟨,
43', Wallison 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Everton Alemao ↓, Henrique Freitas ↑,
46', Pericles ↓, Elvinho ↑,
50', 1 - 1, Henrique Freitas ⚽,
55', 2 - 1, Josmar ⚽,
59', Jean Lucas 🟨,
60', Pedro Cuiaba ↓, Kaua Dias ↑,
60', Thayllon ↓, Talisson ↑,
62', Cleo Silva 🟨,
65', Cleo Silva ↓, Saymon ↑,
68', Josmar ↓, Gaspar ↑,
68', Gabriel P. ↓, Tete ↑,
76', Da Rocha ↓, Gabriel Silva ↑,
77', Mauricio Garcez (Penalty Awarded),
81', DG 🟨,
83', Jean Lucas ↓, Jamerson ↑,
83', DG ↓, Joao Bezerra ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Avaí won 2.

In this match, Avaí is a strong favorite.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Avaí won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 8:7. (average 1.3:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Avaí won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:1. (average 1.7:0.3).

Last Results with these Odds

Avaí - the odds 1.85 are the expected chance of winning is 49.5%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Avaí
Brazilian Serie B
23.11.25	Botafogo SP - Avaí	0:0 ✺
15.11.25	Avaí - Remo	3:1 ✺
08.11.25	Vila Nova - Avaí	2:2 ✺
01.11.25	Avaí - Athletic Club	2:1 ✺
25.10.25	Paysandu - Avaí	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.4 TWTWW
- Barra Santa Catarina
Brazilian Copa Santa Catarina
12.10.25	Náutico Marcílio Dias - Barra Santa Catarina	6:0 ✺
07.10.25	Barra Santa Catarina - Avaí	1:0 ✺
Brazilian Serie D
04.10.25	Barra Santa Catarina - Santa Cruz Recife	0:0 ✺
Brazilian Copa Santa Catarina
01.10.25	Barra Santa Catarina - Figueirense	1:4 ✺
Brazilian Serie D
27.09.25	Santa Cruz Recife - Barra Santa Catarina	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.9 LWTLW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Copa Santa Catarina
07.10.25	Barra Santa Catarina - Avaí	1:0
14.09.25	Avaí - Barra Santa Catarina	2:1
Brazilian Campeonato Catarinense
15.02.25	Barra Santa Catarina - Avaí	1:0
28.02.24	Avaí - Barra Santa Catarina	1:0
08.02.23	Barra Santa Catarina - Avaí	4:3
29.01.22	Avaí - Barra Santa Catarina	2:0

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