Match Info

Catarinense - Play Offs - Semi-finals

Date: 15 February 2026, Sunday

Location: Estádio Orlando Scarpelli (Florianópolis)


	Camboriú		Barra Santa Catarina

	1	X	2
	3.39	2.92	2.14
	3.42	3.18	2.16	Watch
	3.6	2.9	2.05
	3.44	2.91	2.15
	3.5	2.9	2.12
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.47 ↑ (2.76)	2.96 ↑ (2.88)	2.12 ↓ (2.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Camboriú
26.3%

Draw
30.8%

Barra Santa Catarina
42.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.6%

31.3%

36.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.4%

32.1%

35.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Camboriú has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Camboriú's form might have worsened.

Barra Santa Catarina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Barra Santa Catarina's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Camboriú than the current prediction. (+7.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Camboriú, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Barra Santa Catarina than the current prediction. (-7.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Barra Santa Catarina, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Camboriú - Barra Santa Catarina Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DNB - Barra (1.54) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Barra (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Vava (G) 18. Alysson Dutra 5. Choco 23. Danilo Mendes 2. Gabriel Bessan 10. Mansur 15. Matheus Belem 11. Nilton 16. Reginaldo 26. Silva 7. Wermeson (C)	1. Ewerton (G) 6. Da Rocha 10. Elvinho 4. Everton Alemao 2. Fabio 7. Gabriel Silva 11. Geovany Soares 8. Henrique Freitas 3. Jean Pierre (C) 9. Renan Bernabe 5. Tete
Substitutes
3. Daniel Blanco 14. Hygor 13. Junior Santos 9. Kaka 17. Kennedy 12. Lucas Gomes (G) 20. Macias J. 19. Mikael Mendes 8. Nadson 21. Ricardinho 27. Silva M. 4. Tom	24. Barba 17. Cleo Silva 12. Fabian Volpi (G) 23. Lucas Vargas 20. Marcelinho 21. Nicolas 15. Pablo 16. Pericles 19. Saymon 14. Vava 13. Vitao 18. Warley

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
12', 🟨,
15', Matheus Belem ↓, Hygor ↑,
19', 0 - 1, Geovany Soares ⚽,
41', Geovany Soares 🟨,
45+3', 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Gabriel Silva ↓, Marcelinho ↑,
46', Choco ↓, Nadson ↑,
63', Geovany Soares ↓, Nicolas ↑,
63', Gabriel Bessan ↓, Junior Santos ↑,
63', Reginaldo ↓, Silva M. ↑,
68', Tete 🟨,
76', Henrique Freitas ↓, Pablo ↑,
76', Renan Bernabe ↓, Lucas Vargas ↑,
76', Nilton ↓, Kaka ↑,
79', 1 - 1, Kaka ⚽,
80', Junior Santos 🟨,
84', Elvinho ↓, Warley ↑,

Preview

First leg.

Camboriú has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Barra is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Camboriú may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Barra could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Camboriú won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:2. (average 1.3:0.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Camboriú won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2. (average 1.5:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Camboriú FC
Brazilian Campeonato Catarinense
08.02.26	Avaí - Camboriú	0:2 penalties ✺
31.01.26	Camboriú - Avaí	1:2 ✺
25.01.26	Figueirense - Camboriú	1:1 ✺
22.01.26	Camboriú - Criciúma	1:2 ✺
17.01.26	Carlos Renaux - Camboriú	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.3 WLTLT
- Barra Santa Catarina
Brazilian Campeonato Catarinense
07.02.26	Santa Catarina - Barra Santa Catarina	0:1 ✺
31.01.26	Barra Santa Catarina - Santa Catarina	1:1 ✺
25.01.26	Barra Santa Catarina - Concórdia	5:1 ✺
22.01.26	Náutico Marcílio Dias - Barra Santa Catarina	0:1 ✺
17.01.26	Barra Santa Catarina - Brusque	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.2 WTWWL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Catarinense
14.01.26	Camboriú - Barra Santa Catarina	1:0
05.03.23	Camboriú - Barra Santa Catarina	2:2
09.02.22	Barra Santa Catarina - Camboriú	0:1

Camboriú - Barra Santa Catarina: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide