Match Info

Date: 13 December 2021, Monday


	Barracas Central		Almirante Brown

	1	X	2
	2.45	3.2	3	Watch
	2.3	3	3.1
	2.3	2.95	3.1
	2.33	3	2.95
	2.5	3.03	3.18
	2.25	3	3.1
	2.33	3.2	2.94
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.35 ↑ (1.91)	3.05 ↓ (3.33)	3.05 ↓ (3.97)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Barracas Central
39.4%

Draw
30.3%

Almirante Brown
30.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.7%

27.9%

23.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.7%

21.7%

18.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Barracas Central has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Barracas Central's form might have worsened.

Almirante Brown has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Almirante Brown's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barracas Central than the current prediction. (+23.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Barracas Central, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Almirante Brown than the current prediction. (-12.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Almirante Brown, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Barracas Central - Almirante Brown Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

2nd leg. 1st leg result: 0-0.

Barracas Central is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Almirante Brown is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Almirante Brown could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Barracas Central have a series of guest games.

Barracas Central will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 10 head-to-head matches Barracas Central won 5 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 14-7.

Including matches at home between the teams Barracas Central won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 13-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Barracas Central
Argentinian Primera Nacional
06.12.21	Almirante Brown - Barracas Central	0:0 ✺
22.11.21	Tigre - Barracas Central	1:0 ✺
15.11.21	Villa Dálmine - Barracas Central	1:3 ✺
07.11.21	Barracas Central - San Martín de San Juan	3:0 ✺
31.10.21	Brown de Adrogué - Barracas Central	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 TLWWW
- Almirante Brown
Argentinian Primera Nacional
06.12.21	Almirante Brown - Barracas Central	0:0 ✺
29.11.21	Almirante Brown - Independiente Rivadavia	1:0 ✺
22.11.21	Independiente Rivadavia - Almirante Brown	1:1 ✺
15.11.21	Almirante Brown - Alvarado	3:2 ✺
07.11.21	Tigre - Almirante Brown	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 TWTWL

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera Nacional
06.12.21	Almirante Brown - Barracas Central	0:0
Argentinian Primera B
31.01.19	Barracas Central - Almirante Brown	3:1
25.08.18	Almirante Brown - Barracas Central	1:0
19.03.18	Barracas Central - Almirante Brown	3:1
30.10.17	Almirante Brown - Barracas Central	0:0
21.03.17	Almirante Brown - Barracas Central	1:0
07.09.16	Barracas Central - Almirante Brown	1:1

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