Match Info

Date: 6 December 2021, Monday


	Almirante Brown		Barracas Central

	1	X	2
	2.5	2.8	3.4	Watch
	2.4	2.7	3.2
	2.35	2.8	3.15
	2.39	2.8	3.1
	2.54	2.78	3.44
	2.38	2.8	3.1
	2.4	2.96	3.06
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.42 (2.42)	2.81 ↑ (2.77)	3.21 ↑ (3.19)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Almirante Brown
38.2%

Draw
33%

Barracas Central
28.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38%

33.2%

28.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.2%

22%

43.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Almirante Brown has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

The chances for Barracas Central have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Almirante Brown than the current prediction. (-13%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Almirante Brown that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barracas Central than the current prediction. (+14.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Barracas Central could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Almirante Brown - Barracas Central Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

1st leg.

Recent matches Almirante Brown is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Barracas Central is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Almirante Brown could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both teams are almost equal.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Almirante Brown won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 7-14.

Including matches at home between the teams Almirante Brown won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Almirante Brown
Argentinian Primera Nacional
29.11.21	Almirante Brown - Independiente Rivadavia	1:0 ✺
22.11.21	Independiente Rivadavia - Almirante Brown	1:1 ✺
15.11.21	Almirante Brown - Alvarado	3:2 ✺
07.11.21	Tigre - Almirante Brown	3:1 ✺
31.10.21	Almirante Brown - Quilmes	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 WTWLT
- Barracas Central
Argentinian Primera Nacional
22.11.21	Tigre - Barracas Central	1:0 ✺
15.11.21	Villa Dálmine - Barracas Central	1:3 ✺
07.11.21	Barracas Central - San Martín de San Juan	3:0 ✺
31.10.21	Brown de Adrogué - Barracas Central	1:2 ✺
23.10.21	Barracas Central - Guillermo Brown	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 LWWWT

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera B
31.01.19	Barracas Central - Almirante Brown	3:1
25.08.18	Almirante Brown - Barracas Central	1:0
19.03.18	Barracas Central - Almirante Brown	3:1
30.10.17	Almirante Brown - Barracas Central	0:0
21.03.17	Almirante Brown - Barracas Central	1:0
07.09.16	Barracas Central - Almirante Brown	1:1
02.04.16	Barracas Central - Almirante Brown	3:2

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