Match Info

Date: 31 October 2021, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Brown de Adrogué		Barracas Central

	1	X	2
	2.4	2.9	2.8	Watch
	2.35	2.95	3.1
	2.3	2.9	3
	2.43	2.9	2.9
	2.61	2.94	3.13
	2.45	2.8	3
	2.43	3.04	2.93
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.42 (2.42)	2.92 ↑ (2.92)	2.98 ↓ (3.17)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Brown de Adrogué
37.8%

Draw
31.4%

Barracas Central
30.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

38.6%

32%

29.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.4%

25.2%

44.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Brown de Adrogué has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

Barracas Central has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Brown de Adrogué than the current prediction. (-7.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Brown de Adrogué that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barracas Central than the current prediction. (+13.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Barracas Central could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Brown de Adrogué - Barracas Central Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 7 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Play Offs: Final)).

Two teams are playing changeable.

Brown de Adrogué could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Brown de Adrogué won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Brown de Adrogué won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Brown de Adrogué
Argentinian Primera Nacional
25.10.21	Instituto Córdoba - Brown de Adrogué	2:2 ✺
16.10.21	Brown de Adrogué - Gimnasia Jujuy	1:1 ✺
09.10.21	Tristán Suárez - Brown de Adrogué	2:2 ✺
03.10.21	Brown de Adrogué - Ferro Carril Oeste	1:3 ✺
27.09.21	Deportivo Morón - Brown de Adrogué	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 TTTLW
- Barracas Central
Argentinian Primera Nacional
23.10.21	Barracas Central - Guillermo Brown	0:0 ✺
15.10.21	Atlético de Rafaela - Barracas Central	0:2 ✺
09.10.21	Barracas Central - Independiente Rivadavia	1:3 ✺
02.10.21	Barracas Central - All Boys	2:1 ✺
26.09.21	Instituto Córdoba - Barracas Central	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 TWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera Nacional
03.07.21	Barracas Central - Brown de Adrogué	1:1
Argentinian Primera B
03.10.15	Brown de Adrogué - Barracas Central	0:0
23.05.15	Barracas Central - Brown de Adrogué	2:1

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Brown de Adrogué
Argentinian Primera B
02.11.26	Argentino de Quilmes - Brown de Adrogué	✺
- Barracas Central
Argentinian Liga Profesional
01.11.26	Belgrano - Barracas Central	✺

Brown de Adrogué - Barracas Central