Match Info

ARGENTINA: PRIMERA NACIONAL - ROUND 27

Date: 29 July 2023, Saturday

Location: Estadio Fragata Presidente Sarmiento (Isidro Casanova)


	Almirante Brown		Alvarado

	1	X	2
	1.85	3.25	4.75	Watch
	1.83	3.1	4.33
	1.8	3.1	4.2
	1.84	3.25	5.07
	1.85	3.1	4.2
	1.82	3.32	4.85
	1.87	3.2	4.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.84 ↑ (1.82)	3.19 ↑ (3.18)	4.53 ↑ (4.47)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Almirante Brown
50.5%

Draw
29.1%

Alvarado
20.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.5%

28.9%

20.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.4%

28.4%

20.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Almirante Brown have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

Alvarado has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Almirante Brown than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alvarado than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
91.7%	8.3%	0%

Almirante Brown - Alvarado Predictions

Users Predictions: Almirante Brown will win (11 of 12 users predict this - 91.67%).
Confidence interval (95%): 76.03% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Martinez R. (G) 4. Stable Facundo N. 2. Dattola A. 6. Barrionuevo A. 3. Ochoa A. 8. Santiago M. 5. Enrique M. 7. Vazquez J. 11. Zacaria J. 10. Vera S. 9. Bazan N.	1. Lungarzo J. (G) 4. Ortiz N. D. 2. Berra T. 6. Irazoque A. 3. Olivera L. 8. Malagueno F. 5. Bellocq F. 10. Fernandez J. L. 11. Boasso F. 7. Ramirez S. 9. Albertengo M.
Substitutes
15. Abreliano M. 19. Batallini M. 17. Escurra J. L. 12. Ferreyra N. (G) 20. Garcia D. 16. Garcia J. 14. Ledesma D. 13. Moreno C. 18. Rivero G.	18. Arias J. . Jaurena S. 14. Lacunza L. . Lamardo G. 12. Lobelos J. (G) . Makarte R. 20. Rebecchi L. 19. Vadala G. 16. Vitale J.
Coaches
Pinto G.	Martinez J. M.

Preview

One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 13).

Almirante Brown is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Alvarado is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Alvarado could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Almirante Brown is a favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Almirante Brown won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 7-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Almirante Brown won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Almirante Brown
Argentinian Primera Nacional
23.07.23	Deportivo Flandria - Almirante Brown	0:2 ✺
15.07.23	Almirante Brown - San Martín de San Juan	2:1 ✺
09.07.23	Defensores Unidos - Almirante Brown	0:1 ✺
01.07.23	Almirante Brown - Guillermo Brown	0:0 ✺
24.06.23	Agropecuario Argentino - Almirante Brown	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13 WWWTL
- CA Alvarado
Argentinian Primera Nacional
22.07.23	Alvarado - Deportivo Morón	0:2 ✺
14.07.23	Güemes - Alvarado	0:2 ✺
08.07.23	Alvarado - Patronato Parana	2:0 ✺
02.07.23	Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza - Alvarado	3:1 ✺
17.06.23	Alvarado - Deportivo Flandria	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.9 LWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera Nacional
25.03.23	Alvarado - Almirante Brown	0:1
11.07.22	Alvarado - Almirante Brown	0:2
15.11.21	Almirante Brown - Alvarado	3:2
16.07.21	Alvarado - Almirante Brown	0:1

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