Match Info

ARGENTINA: COPA DE LA LIGA PROFESIONAL - ROUND 8

Date: 9 October 2023, Monday

Location: Estadio Tomás Adolfo Duco (Buenos Aires)

Referee: Dovalo P. (Arg)


	Barracas Central		Colón

	1	X	2
	2.8	3	2.88	Watch
	2.7	3	2.7
	2.7	3	2.8	Watch
	2.74	2.89	2.71
	2.5	3	2.7
	2.53	3.08	2.93	Watch
	2.7	3	2.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.67 ↑ (2.15)	3 ↓ (3.2)	2.78 ↓ (3.49)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Barracas Central
35.1%

Draw
31.2%

Colón
33.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.8%

29.3%

26.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.8%

28.6%

26.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Barracas Central has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Barracas Central's form might have worsened.

Colón has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Colón's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barracas Central than the current prediction. (+9.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Barracas Central, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Colón than the current prediction. (-7.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Colón, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
21.1%	57.9%	21.1%

Barracas Central - Colón Predictions

Users Predictions: 19 users predict this event. Barracas Central will win (votes: 4 - 21.1%). Colón will win (votes: 4 - 21.1%). It will Tie (votes: 11 - 57.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 35.7% – 80.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Desabato A. (G) 4. Peinipil M. 19. Arce C. 16. Alvarez F. 14. Diaz J. 6. Insua R. 33. Mater F. 10. Tapia I. (C) 25. Rosane S. 21. Calderara B. 9. Dominguez Ansorena A.	17. Chicco I. (G) 21. Meza E. 6. Goltz P. 33. Garces F. (C) 3. Mas E. 19. Galvan T. 34. Moreyra S. 31. Alvarez F. 10. Botta R. 9. Abila R. 7. Batallini D.
Substitutes
11. Cantero A. 2. Capraro N. 27. Florentin F. 17. Frias F. 18. James J. 79. Puig M. 26. Rodriguez M. 29. Sepulveda B. 34. Serrizuela J. P. 23. Susvielles J. 3. Tolosa F. 22. Villar G. (G)	26. Arrua C. 27. Benitez J. 40. Delgado R. 2. German Conti 50. Guille B. 11. Ibanez J. 12. Ibanez M. (G) 36. Nardelli G. 14. Perlaza B. 30. Pierotti S. 22. Toledo J. 5. Vega C.
Coaches
Rondina S.	Gorosito N.

Preview

Playing home matches at a different stadium - Estadio Tomás Adolfo Duco.

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Barracas Central could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

There will not play in Barracas Central: Lopez L. (Injury)

Last 3 head-to-head matches Barracas Central won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Barracas Central won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Barracas Central
Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional
02.10.23	Barracas Central - Sarmiento de Junín	1:1 ✺
25.09.23	Talleres de Córdoba - Barracas Central	4:0 ✺
20.09.23	Barracas Central - Banfield	1:0 ✺
16.09.23	Atlético Tucumán - Barracas Central	1:0 ✺
04.09.23	Barracas Central - Arsenal Sarandí	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 TLWLW
- CA Colón
Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional
01.10.23	Colón - Unión Santa Fe	0:0 ✺
25.09.23	Colón - Argentinos Juniors	3:1 ✺
20.09.23	Instituto Córdoba - Colón	3:1 ✺
15.09.23	Colón - Rosario Central	2:1 ✺
02.09.23	Huracán Buenos Aires - Colón	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 TWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Liga Profesional
21.05.23	Colón - Barracas Central	1:1
28.08.22	Barracas Central - Colón	1:0
Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional
26.02.22	Colón - Barracas Central	2:1

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