Match Info

Torneo Betano - Apertura - Round 11

Date: 27 March 2025, Thursday

Location: Claudio Fabian Tapia (Barracas)

Referee: Ramirez N. (Arg)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	ESPN Premium
Usa	Fanatiz
World	TyC Sports Internacional


	Barracas Central		Estudiantes La Plata

	1	X	2
	4.75	3.3	1.85	Watch
	3.7	3	2.1
	4.5	3.25	1.88	Watch
	3.88	3.27	2.04
	4.71	3.32	1.86	Watch
	5.06	3.38	1.86	Watch
	4.5	3.25	1.88
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.44 ↑ (3.69)	3.25 ↓ (3.31)	1.92 ↓ (2.07)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Network on TV: TyC Sports

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Current Win Probability

Barracas Central
21.4%

Draw
29.2%

Estudiantes La Plata
49.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.6%

28.6%

45.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.3%

28.3%

46.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Barracas Central has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

Estudiantes La Plata has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barracas Central than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Estudiantes La Plata than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
6.7%	20%	73.3%

Barracas Central - Estudiantes La Plata Predictions

Users Predictions: 30 users predict this event. Barracas Central will win (votes: 2 - 6.7%). Estudiantes will win (votes: 22 - 73.3%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 20%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Estudiantes: 57.5% – 89.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
28. Ledesma M. (G) 33. Mater F. 14. Jappert K. 32. Tobio F. 15. Rak Y. 6. Insua R. 23. Tapia I. (C) 5. Miloc D. 24. Duarte M. 20. Candia J. 7. Bruera F.	12. Mansilla M. (G) 20. Meza E. 6. Nunez S. 26. Funes Mori R. 13. Benedetti G. 21. Piovi L. 7. Sosa J. (C) 10. Palacios T. 25. Medina C. 18. Cetre E. 27. Alario L.
Substitutes
10. Barrios N. 13. Barrios R. 17. Blandi N. 2. Capraro N. 31. Demartini N. 16. Guaraz I. A. 30. Mino M. (G) 9. Morales G. 35. Perugini T. 19. Porra T. 79. Puig M. 8. Rosane S.	22. Castro A. 11. Farias F. 8. Gabriel Neves 23. Gimenez L. 4. Gomez R. 1. Iacovich F. (G) 24. Kociubinski B. 19. Manyoma A. 29. Perez Fabricio 35. Pierani V. 2. Rodriguez F.
Coaches
Insua R.	Dominguez E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
25', 1 - 0, Tapia I. ⚽, Insua R. (A),
36', Funes Mori R. 🟨,
45', Nunez S. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Cetre E. ↓, Manyoma A. ↑,
46', Medina C. ↓, Castro A. ↑,
46', Funes Mori R. ↓, Rodriguez F. ↑,
46', Duarte M. ↓, Rosane S. ↑,
46', Palacios T. 🟨,
59', Alario L. 🟨,
65', Sosa J. ↓, Gimenez L. ↑,
68', Rodriguez F. 🟨,
68', Tapia I. ↓, Barrios N. ↑,
71', Candia J. ↓, Porra T. ↑,
74', Alario L. ↓, Farias F. ↑,
83', 1 - 1, Palacios T. ⚽,
88', 2 - 1, Bruera F. ⚽,
90+1', Mater F. ↓, Capraro N. ↑,

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Barracas Central won 0.

The game of competitors is shaky now.

In this match Estudiantes is a favorite.

There will not play in Barracas Central: Irazoque A. (Knee Injury) Kruger F. (Knee Injury) Ruiz J. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Estudiantes: Boselli S. (Hamstring Injury) Mendez M. (Injury)

Last 6 head-to-head matches Barracas Central won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 7:19 (average 1.2:3.2).

Including matches at home between the teams Barracas Central won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4:8 (average 1.3:2.7).

Last Results with these Odds

Barracas Central - the odds 3.69 are the expected chance of winning is 25.61%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Barracas Central
Argentinian Liga Profesional
16.03.25	Belgrano - Barracas Central	1:1 ✺
08.03.25	Sarmiento de Junín - Barracas Central	1:1 ✺
03.03.25	Barracas Central - Godoy Cruz	1:2 ✺
24.02.25	Barracas Central - Newells Old Boys	2:0 ✺
15.02.25	Defensa y Justicia - Barracas Central	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.9 TTLWT
- Estudiantes La Plata
Argentinian Liga Profesional
15.03.25	Estudiantes La Plata - Newells Old Boys	1:1 ✺
09.03.25	Defensa y Justicia - Estudiantes La Plata	1:0 ✺
01.03.25	River Plate - Estudiantes La Plata	0:2 ✺
Copa Argentina
25.02.25	Estudiantes La Plata - Sarmiento de La Banda	2:1 ✺
Argentinian Liga Profesional
21.02.25	Estudiantes La Plata - Central Córdoba	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 TLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Liga Profesional
25.10.24	Barracas Central - Estudiantes La Plata	1:1
Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional
20.04.24	Estudiantes La Plata - Barracas Central	3:0
Argentinian Liga Profesional
02.06.23	Estudiantes La Plata - Barracas Central	5:2
20.07.22	Estudiantes La Plata - Barracas Central	3:1
Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional
16.04.22	Barracas Central - Estudiantes La Plata	1:6

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