The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Estudiantes La Plata 57.9%
Draw 27.4%
Newells Old Boys 14.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
56.9%
26.9%
16.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
58.3%
26.3%
15.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Estudiantes La Plata has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)
Newells Old Boys has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Estudiantes La Plata than the current prediction. (+0.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Newells Old Boys than the current prediction. (+1.1%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
91.7%
0%
8.3%
Estudiantes La Plata - Newells Old Boys Predictions
Users Predictions:
Estudiantes La Plata will win
(11 of 12 users predict this - 91.67%). Confidence interval (95%): 76.03% – 100%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
16. Muslera F. (G) 40. Mancuso E. 4. Nunez S. 14. Gonzalez Pirez L. 13. Benedetti G. 21. Piovi L. 8. Gabriel Neves 31. Rodriguez B. 32. Correa J. 17. Burgos J. 9. Carrillo G. (C)
30. Reinatti J. (G) 6. Ortega M. 25. Cabrera B. 17. Giannetti L. 24. Escobar F. 26. Herrera R. 5. Regiardo L. (C) 7. Mazzantti W. 20. Guch F. 39. Rios T. 9. Coccaro M.
Substitutes
28. Aguirre B. 27. Alario L. 22. Castro A. 18. Cetre E. 26. Funes Mori R. 19. Gaich A. 1. Iacovich F. (G) 52. Kociubinski B. 20. Meza E. 24. Palacios T. 29. Perez Fabricio 7. Sosa J.
10. Acuna V. 21. Arias G. (G) 35. Benedetto B. 16. Carrizo L. 18. Garcia M. E. 19. Gomez J. 27. Gomez L. 99. Ramirez I. 28. Russo J. 22. Salomon O. 36. Scarpeccio F. 15. Sonora A.
Coaches
Medina A.
Kudelka F.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Mancuso E. ↓, Meza E. ↑,
46', Piovi L. ↓, Castro A. ↑,
55', Gonzalez Pirez L. 🟨,
73', Rios T. ↓, Garcia M. E. ↑,
73', Guch F. ↓, Gomez J. ↑,
74', Burgos J. ↓, Cetre E. ↑,
74', Correa J. ↓, Aguirre B. ↑,
80', Coccaro M. ↓, Scarpeccio F. ↑,
80', Herrera R. ↓, Gomez L. ↑,
83', Rodriguez B. ↓, Gaich A. ↑,
88', Gomez L. 🟨,
90+2', Mazzantti W. ↓, Salomon O. ↑,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Estudiantes won 3.
Estudiantes is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Newells Old Boys has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Newells Old Boys may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, Estudiantes is the team to beat.
There will not play in Estudiantes: Arzamendia S.
(Knee Injury)
Palacios T.
(Injury)
There will not play in Newells Old Boys: Goitea N.
(Hernia)
Montero A.
(Knee Injury)
Nunez W.
(Inactive)
Salomon O.
(Inactive)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Estudiantes won 7 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 24:20. (average 1.2:1).
Including home matches between the teams, Estudiantes won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 13:11. (average 1.3:1.1).