Match Info

ARGENTINA: Copa de la Liga Profesional - Round 13

Date: 7 April 2024, Sunday

Location: Claudio Fabian Tapia (Barracas)

Referee: Lobo Medina L. (Arg)


	Barracas Central		Instituto Córdoba

	1	X	2
	2.9	3.1	2.6	Watch
	2.95	2.95	2.5
	3.05	2.92	2.55	Watch
	3.1	2.96	2.65
	3.1	2.95	2.65
	2.98	3.06	2.48
	2.95	3	2.49
Avarage Now (Initially)	3 ↑ (2.71)	2.99 ↓ (3)	2.56 ↓ (2.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Barracas Central
31.5%

Draw
31.6%

Instituto Córdoba
36.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.7%

31.3%

34.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.5%

31.5%

34.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Barracas Central has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

Instituto Córdoba has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barracas Central than the current prediction. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Instituto Córdoba than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
23.5%	23.5%	52.9%

Barracas Central - Instituto Córdoba Predictions

Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Barracas Central will win (votes: 4 - 23.5%). Instituto will win (votes: 9 - 52.9%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 23.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Instituto: 29.2% – 76.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Moyano S. (G) 33. Mater F. (C) 2. Capraro N. 14. Goni G. 6. Insua R. 5. Herrera R. 8. Rosane S. 21. Brochero L. 11. Cantero A. 43. Zalazar M. 9. Dominguez A.	28. Roffo M. (G) 2. Franco J. 6. Alarcon F. R. (C) 33. Brizuela M. 12. Bay J. 8. Acevedo J. 5. Bochi R. 19. Lodico G. A. 22. Puebla D. 29. Russo I. 9. Suarez F.
Substitutes
17. Abila R. 48. Aguirre F. 19. Arce C. 32. Coronel S. 15. Demartini N. 24. Duarte M. 27. Iacobellis M. 26. Irazoque A. 29. Juarez D. 30. Mino M. (G) 3. Tolosa N. 4. Velurtas P.	30. Barrientos N. 36. Cabrera V. 20. Cuello B. 47. Dubersarsky N. 16. Lazaro J. 17. Mainero G. 21. Peano M. (G) 13. Perez R. 18. Rodriguez L. 11. Rodriguez S. 32. Romero M. 10. Romero S.
Coaches
Orfila A.	Dabove D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
33', Mater F. 🟨,
38', 1 - 0, Cantero A. ⚽,
39', Roffo M. 🟨,
42', Bochi R. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 2)
56', 2 - 0, Brochero L. ⚽, Cantero A. (A),
58', 3 - 0, Brizuela M. (Own goal),
65', Bochi R. ↓, Lazaro J. ↑,
65', Russo I. ↓, Rodriguez S. ↑,
68', Brochero L. ↓, Duarte M. ↑,
69', Mater F. ↓, Velurtas P. ↑,
70', Puebla D. ↓, Perez R. ↑,
71', Alarcon F. R. ↓, Cabrera V. ↑,
75', Dominguez A. ↓, Abila R. ↑,
75', Cantero A. ↓, Iacobellis M. ↑,
80', 3 - 1, Suarez F. ⚽, Lazaro J. (A),
81', Lodico G. A. ↓, Barrientos N. ↑,
84', Zalazar M. ↓, Arce C. ↑,
85', 3 - 2, Insua R. (Own goal),

Preview

One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa de la Liga Profesional (Play Offs: ) and 7).

Barracas Central is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Instituto is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Barracas Central could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Barracas Central won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Barracas Central won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Barracas Central
Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional
28.03.24	Rosario Central - Barracas Central	1:2 ✺
17.03.24	Barracas Central - Huracán Buenos Aires	1:0 ✺
09.03.24	Gimnasia La Plata - Barracas Central	2:0 ✺
05.03.24	Barracas Central - Independiente	2:2 ✺
29.02.24	Independiente Rivadavia - Barracas Central	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.3 WWLTW
- Instituto Córdoba
Copa Argentina
03.04.24	Instituto Córdoba - Talleres de Remedios de Escalada	1:2 ✺
Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional
28.03.24	Instituto Córdoba - Argentinos Juniors	1:2 ✺
16.03.24	Vélez Sársfield - Instituto Córdoba	1:0 ✺
09.03.24	Rosario Central - Instituto Córdoba	1:0 ✺
04.03.24	Instituto Córdoba - Huracán Buenos Aires	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 LLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional
13.11.23	Instituto Córdoba - Barracas Central	0:0
Argentinian Liga Profesional
05.05.23	Barracas Central - Instituto Córdoba	3:0
Argentinian Primera Nacional
26.09.21	Instituto Córdoba - Barracas Central	1:0
15.05.21	Barracas Central - Instituto Córdoba	1:1

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