The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Independiente Rivadavia 62.6%
Draw 24.9%
Barracas Central 12.5%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
54.1%
28.1%
17.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
55.3%
27.5%
17.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Independiente Rivadavia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.5%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Independiente Rivadavia's performance.
Barracas Central has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Barracas Central might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Independiente Rivadavia than the current prediction. (-7.3%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Independiente Rivadavia that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barracas Central than the current prediction. (+4.9%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
54.5%
27.3%
18.2%
Independiente Rivadavia - Barracas Central Predictions
Users Predictions:
11 users predict this event. Independiente R will win (votes: 6 - 54.5%). Barracas Central will win (votes: 2 - 18.2%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 27.3%). Confidence interval (95%) for Independiente R: 25.1% โ 83.9%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Independiente R (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
30. Bolcato N. (G) 13. Osella A. 40. Villalba I. 2. Costa L. 42. Studer S. 3. Elordi J. M. 11. Rios G. 25. Florentin Bobadilla J. I. 10. Fernandez M. 43. Sartori F. 22. Villa S. (C)
30. Mino M. (G) 2. Capraro N. 32. Tobio F. 31. Demartini N. 4. Martinez D. 8. Porra T. 5. Miloc D. 10. Tapia I. (C) 6. Insua R. 9. Morales G. 20. Candia J.
Substitutes
9. Arce A. 19. Atencio R. 36. Bonifacio E. 5. Bottari T. 8. Bucca L. 27. Crego D. 14. Gomez L. 12. Macagno R. (G) 34. Moreyra S. 7. Ramis V. 77. Sequeira L. 32. Vazquez K. A.
13. Barrios R. 28. Bogarin R. 11. Briasco N. 37. Campi G. 18. Duarte M. 1. Espinola J. (G) 21. Gamba L. 25. Gordillo Y. 16. Guaraz I. A. 14. Jappert K. 33. Maroni G. 15. Rak Y.
Coaches
Berti A.
Insua R.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 2)
18', Fernandez M. 🟨,
34', 0 - 1, Morales G. ⚽, Demartini N. (A),
44', 0 - 2, Candia J. ⚽, Porra T. (A),
45+3', Mino M. 🟨,
45+4', Villalba I. 🟨,
45+4', Elordi J. M. 🟨,
45+5', Capraro N. 🟨,
45+5', Studer S. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Villalba I. ↓, Atencio R. ↑,
57', Rios G. ↓, Sequeira L. ↑,
57', Osella A. ↓, Bonifacio E. ↑,
71', Fernandez M. ↓, Arce A. ↑,
71', Elordi J. M. ↓, Gomez L. ↑,
76', Morales G. ↓, Briasco N. ↑,
80', Mino M. ↓, Espinola J. ↑,
80', Arce A. 🟨,
84', 1 - 2, Florentin Bobadilla J. I. ⚽, Gomez L. (A),
85', Martinez D. ↓, Jappert K. ↑,
90+4', Candia J. 🟨,
90+4', Florentin Bobadilla J. I. 🟨,
Preview
This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 12).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Independiente R won 2.
The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
In this match, Independiente R is the obvious favorite.
There will not play in Barracas Central: Jappert K.
(Inactive)
In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Independiente R won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 9:8. (average 1.1:1).
Including home matches between the teams, Independiente R won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:3. (average 0.3:1).
Argentina
Mexico
Usa
Venezuela
International
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Bolcato N. (G) 
Villalba I. 
Costa L. 
Villa S. (C) 
Briasco N. 
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