Match Info

ARGENTINA: COPA DE LA LIGA PROFESIONAL - ROUND 9

Date: 5 March 2024, Tuesday

Location: Claudio Fabian Tapia (Barracas)

Referee: Dovalo P. (Arg)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport


	Barracas Central		Independiente

	1	X	2
	3.9	3	2.1	Watch
	4	3	2.05
	4.1	3.1	2	Watch
	4.43	3.05	2.09
	4.47	3.05	2.07
	4.24	3.14	1.96
	3.9	3	2.08
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.15 ↑ (2.91)	3.05 ↑ (2.94)	2.05 ↓ (2.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Barracas Central
22.8%

Draw
31%

Independiente
46.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.2%

31.8%

36%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.8%

32.2%

36.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Barracas Central has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Barracas Central's form might have worsened.

Independiente has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Independiente's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barracas Central than the current prediction. (+9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Barracas Central, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Independiente than the current prediction. (-9.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Independiente, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	40%	60%

Barracas Central - Independiente Predictions

Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Independiente will win (votes: 9 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 40%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Independiente: 35.2% – 84.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Moyano S. (G) 33. Mater F. 2. Capraro N. 14. Goni G. 6. Insua R. 5. Herrera R. 8. Rosane S. 21. Brochero L. 11. Cantero A. 43. Zalazar M. 9. Dominguez A.	33. Rey R. (G) 7. Buffarini J. 26. Aguilar F. 2. Laso J. 15. Perez D. 8. Gabriel Neves 23. Marcone I. (C) 17. Gonzalez L. 19. Luna A. 18. Maestro I. 34. Gimenez M.
Substitutes
17. Abila R. 48. Aguirre F. 19. Arce C. 32. Coronel S. 15. Demartini N. 24. Duarte M. 27. Iacobellis M. 26. Irazoque A. 29. Juarez D. 30. Mino M. (G) 3. Tolosa N. 4. Velurtas P.	9. Avalos G. 79. Costa A. 29. Fedorco J. 4. Isla M. 11. Mancuello F. 21. Martinez D. 28. Quinonez Ruiz J. R. 22. Ruiz J. 25. Segovia D. (G) 3. Sporle A. 27. Tarzia D. 10. Toloza S.
Coaches
Orfila A.	Tevez C.

Preview

The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa de la Liga Profesional (Play Offs: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa de la Liga Profesional (Play Offs: )).

Right away both teams are in a satisfying form.

Barracas Central could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Independiente is a favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Barracas Central won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3-7.

Including matches at home between the teams Barracas Central won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Barracas Central
Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional
29.02.24	Independiente Rivadavia - Barracas Central	1:3 ✺
24.02.24	Sarmiento de Junín - Barracas Central	0:0 ✺
19.02.24	Barracas Central - Talleres de Córdoba	2:1 ✺
14.02.24	Banfield - Barracas Central	0:0 ✺
11.02.24	Barracas Central - Atlético Tucumán	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.7 WTWTW
- CA Independiente
Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional
02.03.24	Independiente - Argentinos Juniors	2:1 ✺
24.02.24	Independiente - Racing	0:1 ✺
18.02.24	Instituto Córdoba - Independiente	0:2 ✺
13.02.24	Independiente - Rosario Central	1:0 ✺
08.02.24	Huracán Buenos Aires - Independiente	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.8 WLWWT

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional
18.10.23	Independiente - Barracas Central	3:0
Argentinian Liga Profesional
10.03.23	Barracas Central - Independiente	1:1
12.10.22	Independiente - Barracas Central	2:2
Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional
01.04.22	Barracas Central - Independiente	0:1

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