Match Info

BRAZIL: Paulista A4 - Round 13

Date: 12 March 2025, Wednesday


	Barretos		Penapolense

	1	X	2
	2.11	3	3.4
	2.11	2.91	3.5
	2.09	3.03	3.58	Watch
	2.18	3.21	3.36
	2.11	3	3.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.12 ↑ (1.84)	3.03 ↓ (3.24)	3.45 ↓ (4.06)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Barretos
43.2%

Draw
30.2%

Penapolense
26.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.5%

28.1%

22.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.7%

27.4%

21.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Barretos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Barretos's form might have worsened.

Penapolense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barretos than the current prediction. (+7.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Barretos, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Penapolense than the current prediction. (-4.7%)

Barretos - Penapolense Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 2)
60', 0 - 1, ⚽,
67', 0 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 10 and 15 in the zone Relegation ~ Paulista B (First stage: )).

Recent matches Barretos is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Penapolense is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Penapolense could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Barretos is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Barretos won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1:0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Barretos EC
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A4
08.03.25	Barretos - São Caetano	0:0 ✺
01.03.25	Matonense - Barretos	2:3 ✺
26.02.25	Barretos - União Barbarense	1:3 ✺
22.02.25	Nacional SP - Barretos	0:0 ✺
19.02.25	Barretos - Paulista	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 TWLTT
- CA Penapolense
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A4
09.03.25	Penapolense - Grêmio Osasco Audax	2:2 ✺
01.03.25	Inter de Bebedouro - Penapolense	1:1 ✺
26.02.25	Penapolense - Taquaritinga	1:2 ✺
22.02.25	Jabaquara - Penapolense	2:1 ✺
19.02.25	Penapolense - Nacional SP	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 TTLLL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A4
24.03.24	Penapolense - Barretos	0:1

Barretos - Penapolense: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide