Match Info

ENGLAND: League Two - Round 16

Date: 16 November 2024, Saturday

Location: Holker Street (Barrow in Furness)

Referee: Joyce R. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


United-kingdom	Sky Sports+


	Barrow		AFC Wimbledon

	1	X	2
	2.65	3.1	2.57	Watch
	2.7	3	2.7
	2.8	3	2.7	Watch
	2.92	2.92	2.79
	2.85	2.86	2.75	Watch
	2.88	2.9	2.75
	2.75	3.02	2.67	Watch
	2.8	3	2.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.79 ↑ (2.56)	2.98 ↓ (3.14)	2.7 ↑ (2.69)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Barrow
33.6%

Draw
31.6%

AFC Wimbledon
34.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.1%

29.4%

34.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.8%

28.8%

33.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Barrow has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

AFC Wimbledon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barrow than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for AFC Wimbledon than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
44.4%	22.2%	33.3%

Barrow - AFC Wimbledon Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Barrow will win (votes: 4 - 50%). Wimbledon will win (votes: 2 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Barrow: 15.4% – 84.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Farman P. (G) 2. Eccleston N. 42. Vassell T. 6. Canavan N. (C) 30. Jackson B. 15. Gotts R. 4. Campbell D. 23. Mahoney C. 25. Kirk C. 11. Newby E. 9. Dallas A.	1. Goodman O. (G) 26. Harbottle R. 31. Lewis J. 6. Johnson R. (C) 11. Neufville J. 8. Maycock C. 12. Smith A. 16. Ball J. 7. Tilley J. 14. Stevens M. 39. Pigott J.
Substitutes
24. Feely R. 17. Kouyate K. 22. Popov C. 21. Stanway W. (G) 14. Stokes Ch. 19. Telford D.	2. Biler H. 3. Furlong J. 10. Kelly J. 37. Leach E. 33. Ogundere I. 5. O'Toole J. J. 22. Ward L. (G)
Coaches
Clemence S.	Jackson J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
2', 0 - 1, Pigott J. ⚽,
27', Pigott J. 🟨,
32', Kirk C. 🟨,
44', 1 - 1, Dallas A. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
52', Eccleston N. 🟨,
63', Ball J. 🟨,
72', Ball J. ↓, Kelly J. ↑,
72', Harbottle R. ↓, Ogundere I. ↑,
76', 1 - 2, Stevens M. ⚽, Pigott J. (A),
77', 1 - 3, Stevens M. ⚽,
79', Goodman O. 🟨,
83', Mahoney C. ↓, Kouyate K. ↑,
83', Kirk C. ↓, Telford D. ↑,
90+3', Lewis J. 🟨,

Preview

Teams from a mid-table will play this time (ranked 11 and 14).

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Barrow could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Barrow have a series of home games.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Barrow won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3:4 (average 0.6:0.8).

Including matches at home between the teams Barrow won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2:2 (average 0.7:0.7).

Last Results with these Odds

Barrow - the odds 2.56 are the expected chance of winning is 36.11%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Barrow
English EFL Trophy
12.11.24	Barrow - Aston Villa U21	3:0 ✺
English League Two
09.11.24	Barrow - Colchester United	1:1 ✺
English FA Cup
02.11.24	Barrow - Doncaster Rovers	0:1 ✺
English League Two
26.10.24	Bromley - Barrow	1:1 ✺
22.10.24	Barrow - Notts County	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 WTLTT
- AFC Wimbledon
English League Two
09.11.24	AFC Wimbledon - Grimsby Town	0:1 ✺
English FA Cup
03.11.24	Milton Keynes Dons - AFC Wimbledon	0:2 ✺
English EFL Trophy
29.10.24	AFC Wimbledon - Brighton & Hove Albion U21	0:3 ✺
English League Two
26.10.24	Port Vale - AFC Wimbledon	3:2 ✺
22.10.24	AFC Wimbledon - Morecambe	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 LWLLW

Latest Head to Head

English League Two
10.02.24	AFC Wimbledon - Barrow	2:0
21.10.23	Barrow - AFC Wimbledon	0:0
25.03.23	Barrow - AFC Wimbledon	2:1
27.08.22	AFC Wimbledon - Barrow	0:1
English FA Cup
26.11.20	Barrow - AFC Wimbledon	0:1 penalties

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