The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Milton Keynes Dons 33.9%
Draw 29.7%
AFC Wimbledon 36.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
39.4%
27.6%
33%
Our Initial ML Estimation
40.8%
28.6%
31.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Milton Keynes Dons has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Milton Keynes Dons's form might have worsened.
AFC Wimbledon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Milton Keynes Dons than the current prediction. (+6.9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Milton Keynes Dons, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for AFC Wimbledon than the current prediction. (-4.6%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
12.5%
25%
62.5%
Milton Keynes Dons - AFC Wimbledon Predictions
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. MK Dons will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). Wimbledon will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%). Confidence interval (95%) for Wimbledon: 29% – 96%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
15. MacGillivray C. (G) 17. Offord L. 26. Lawrence N. 6. Thompson N. 16. Nemane A. 42. Williams J. 27. White J. 14. Tomlinson J. 11. Crowley D. 8. Gilbey A. (C) 29. Hogan S.
1. Goodman O. (G) 31. Lewis J. 41. Hutchinson S. 6. Johnson R. 11. Neufville J. 12. Smith A. 4. Reeves J. (C) 7. Tilley J. 14. Stevens M. 10. Kelly J. 9. Bugiel O.
Substitutes
9. Harrison E. 22. Hendry C. 24. Lemonheigh-Evans C. 1. McGill T. (G) 18. O'Reilly T. 20. Thompson-Sommers K. 35. Waller C.
18. Browne M. 3. Furlong J. 21. Hippolyte M. 33. Ogundere I. 39. Pigott J. 29. Sasu A. 22. Ward L. (G)
Coaches
Lindsey S.
Jackson J.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
26', Williams J. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Offord L. ↓, Waller C. ↑,
73', Lewis J. ↓, Ogundere I. ↑,
73', Kelly J. ↓, Browne M. ↑,
75', Smith A. 🟨,
78', White J. ↓, Thompson-Sommers K. ↑,
79', Browne M. 🟨,
80', Bugiel O. ↓, Sasu A. ↑,
Preview
Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 12 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
Last 5 head-to-head matches MK Dons won 1.
MK Dons is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Wimbledon is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
MK Dons could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.
Last 17 head-to-head matches MK Dons won 9 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 23:19 (average 1.4:1.1).
Including matches at home between the teams MK Dons won 6 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 15:10 (average 1.5:1).
Last Results with these Odds
AFC Wimbledon - the odds 2.83 are the expected chance of winning is 33.04%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.
United-kingdom
Watch
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MacGillivray C. (G) 
Offord L. 
Nemane A. 
Williams J. 
Hogan S. 
Lewis J. 
Johnson R. 
Bugiel O. 
McGill T. (G) 
Hippolyte M. 
Sasu A. 
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