Match Info

ENGLAND: League Two - Round 15

Date: 9 November 2024, Saturday

Location: The Cherry Red Records Stadium (London)

Referee: Parsons T. (Eng)


	AFC Wimbledon		Grimsby Town

	1	X	2
	1.5	4.2	6
	1.49	4.2	6.25
	1.53	4.2	6	Watch
	1.5	4.23	6.75
	1.52	4.02	6.24	Watch
	1.53	4	6.5
	1.5	4.15	6.35	Watch
	1.53	4.2	6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.51 ↓ (1.65)	4.15 ↑ (3.84)	6.26 ↑ (4.89)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

AFC Wimbledon
62.3%

Draw
22.7%

Grimsby Town
15%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.6%

24.3%

19.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.1%

22.9%

18%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

AFC Wimbledon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in AFC Wimbledon's performance.

Grimsby Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for AFC Wimbledon than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Grimsby Town than the current prediction. (+3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
62.5%	12.5%	25%

AFC Wimbledon - Grimsby Town Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Wimbledon will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). Grimsby will win (votes: 2 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Wimbledon: 29% – 96%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Goodman O. (G) 31. Lewis J. 16. Ball J. 6. Johnson R. (C) 11. Neufville J. 8. Maycock C. 12. Smith A. 21. Hippolyte M. 7. Tilley J. 14. Stevens M. 9. Bugiel O.	1. Wright J. (G) 21. Warren T. 5. Rodgers H. 17. McJannett C. 33. Hume D. 20. McEachran G. 11. Svanthorsson J. 4. Green K. 30. Khouri E. 14. Barrington L. 32. Rose D. (C)
Substitutes
2. Biler H. 3. Furlong J. 26. Harbottle R. 10. Kelly J. 33. Ogundere I. 39. Pigott J. 22. Ward L. (G)	16. Ainley C. 41. Auton S. (G) 2. Cass L. 22. Gardner C. 8. Luker J. 9. Obikwu J. 24. Tharme D.
Coaches
Jackson J.	Artell D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
30', 0 - 1, Rose D. ⚽, Green K. (A),
42', McEachran G. 🟨,
45+1', Hume D. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
50', Johnson R. 🟨,
54', Wright J. 🟨,
64', Green K. ↓, Cass L. ↑,
69', Stevens M. ↓, Pigott J. ↑,
69', Johnson R. ↓, Ogundere I. ↑,
72', Barrington L. ↓, Ainley C. ↑,
77', Smith A. 🟨,
80', Ball J. ↓, Biler H. ↑,
80', Maycock C. ↓, Kelly J. ↑,
84', McEachran G. ↓, Obikwu J. ↑,
84', Rose D. ↓, Tharme D. ↑,

Preview

Let's enjoy game between two mid-table teams (ranked 13 and 10).

Recent matches Wimbledon is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Grimsby is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recently Grimsby have a series of home games.

In this match Wimbledon is a favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Wimbledon won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1:1 (average 0.3:0.3).

Including matches at home between the teams Wimbledon won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1:0 (average 0.5:0).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AFC Wimbledon
English FA Cup
03.11.24	Milton Keynes Dons - AFC Wimbledon	0:2 ✺
English EFL Trophy
29.10.24	AFC Wimbledon - Brighton & Hove Albion U21	0:3 ✺
English League Two
26.10.24	Port Vale - AFC Wimbledon	3:2 ✺
22.10.24	AFC Wimbledon - Morecambe	3:0 ✺
19.10.24	Notts County - AFC Wimbledon	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 WLLWL
- Grimsby Town
English FA Cup
02.11.24	Grimsby Town - Wealdstone	0:1 ✺
English EFL Trophy
29.10.24	Grimsby Town - Manchester City U21	1:2 penalties ✺
English League Two
26.10.24	Grimsby Town - Milton Keynes Dons	1:3 ✺
22.10.24	Tranmere Rovers - Grimsby Town	0:1 ✺
19.10.24	Grimsby Town - Walsall	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 LLLWL

Latest Head to Head

English League Two
05.03.24	AFC Wimbledon - Grimsby Town	0:0
05.08.23	Grimsby Town - AFC Wimbledon	0:0
08.05.23	Grimsby Town - AFC Wimbledon	1:0
03.12.22	AFC Wimbledon - Grimsby Town	1:0

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