Match Info

League Two - Round 25

Date: 10 March 2026, Tuesday

Location: Holker Street (Barrow in Furness)

Referee: Oldham J. (Eng)


	Barrow		Bristol Rovers

	1	X	2
	2.65	3.2	2.5
	2.75	3.3	2.45
	2.78	3.05	2.58
	2.81	3.2	2.66
	2.79	3.29	2.46	Watch
	2.7	3.1	2.5
	2.73	3.06	2.59	Watch
	2.75	3.4	2.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.75 ↑ (2.52)	3.2 ↑ (3.1)	2.52 ↓ (2.66)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Barrow
34%

Draw
29.1%

Bristol Rovers
36.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.2%

29.4%

34.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38%

28%

32.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Barrow has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

Bristol Rovers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barrow than the current prediction. (+4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bristol Rovers than the current prediction. (-4.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
11.1%	44.4%	44.4%

Barrow - Bristol Rovers Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Barrow will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). Bristol Rovers will win (votes: 4 - 44.4%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 44.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Bristol Rovers: 11.9% – 76.9%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Barrow (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Bristol Rovers (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH 0 - Barrow (1.91) (votes: 1 - 50%) .

AH -0.5 - Bristol Rovers (2.58) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Bristol Rovers (1.40) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Barrow (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Bristol Rovers (votes: 4 - 57.1%). Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Stanway W. (G) 24. Anderson F. 2. MacDonald A. 6. Canavan N. (C) 29. Barkhuizen T. 45. Harper R. 14. McCann C. 7. Jackson B. 11. Newby E. 25. Gordon J. 20. Fletcher I.	13. Young B. (G) 17. Balmer K. 5. Kilgour A. (C) 6. Mola C. 2. Senior J. 36. Smallwood R. 15. De Havilland R. 3. Sparkes J. 24. Leigh T. 27. Quigley J. 29. Cavegn F.
Substitutes
16. Foley S. 28. Powell B. 33. Rose D. 3. Shipley L. 10. Walker T. 31. Winterbottom B. (G)	10. Akhamrich Y. 19. Harrison E. 12. Lockyer T. 35. Rijks M. 1. Southwood L. (G) 11. Thomas L. 14. Thompson-Sommers K.
Coaches
Maamria D.	Evans S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
27', 0 - 1, Leigh T. ⚽, Sparkes J. (A),
43', Anderson F. ↓, Shipley L. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
53', Barkhuizen T. ↓, Rose D. ↑,
56', 0 - 2, Cavegn F. ⚽, Senior J. (A),
64', MacDonald A. 🟨,
69', Jackson B. ↓, Walker T. ↑,
90+3', Cavegn F. ↓, Rijks M. ↑,

Preview

In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 19 and 20).

Both teams are struggling and far from their best.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

There will not play in Barrow: Foley S. (Surgery) Healey R. (Knee Injury) Smith K. (Ankle Injury) Walker T. (Inactive)

There will not play in Bristol Rovers: Omochere P. (Injury)

There are questionable in Barrow: Hemmings K. (Injury) Winterbottom B. (Inactive)

There are questionable in Bristol Rovers: McEachran J. (Inactive) Morton C. (Inactive) Southam-Hales M. (Inactive)

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Barrow won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:5. (average 1:1.3).

Including home match between the teams, Barrow won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Outrights of English League Two for now

Bristol Rovers: 9.6%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Bristol Rovers	9	5	0	4	14:14	0	15

Last Results with these Odds

Barrow - the odds 2.52 are the expected chance of winning is 36.2%, but this team recently wins 27% of matches with these odds.

Bristol Rovers - the odds 2.66 are the expected chance of winning is 34.36%, but this team recently wins 44% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Barrow
English League Two
06.03.26	Cheltenham Town - Barrow	2:2 ✺
28.02.26	Barrow - Gillingham	0:1 ✺
21.02.26	Fleetwood Town - Barrow	3:2 ✺
17.02.26	Barrow - Harrogate Town	0:1 ✺
14.02.26	Barrow - Colchester United	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 TLLLW
- Bristol Rovers
English League Two
07.03.26	Bristol Rovers - Crewe Alexandra	2:1 ✺
28.02.26	Swindon Town - Bristol Rovers	1:1 ✺
21.02.26	Bristol Rovers - Grimsby Town	3:1 ✺
17.02.26	Oldham Athletic - Bristol Rovers	2:0 ✺
14.02.26	Cambridge United - Bristol Rovers	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 WTWLL

Latest Head to Head

English League Two
13.09.25	Bristol Rovers - Barrow	2:1
01.03.22	Bristol Rovers - Barrow	1:0
28.08.21	Barrow - Bristol Rovers	1:1
English FA Cup
04.12.16	Bristol Rovers - Barrow	1:2

Upcoming Matches